Bourg-Péronnas vs Fleury-Merogis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Besic B. , Meyer J. (A),
  • 36', Bovis E. 🟨,
  • 42', Colombo F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Aubourg H. , Lefebvre G. ,
  • 65', Banzouzi D. , Keita E. M. ,
  • 66', Slimani R. , Magassouba M. ,
  • 68', Hervieu L. 🟨,
  • 71', Belliard M. , Lambese S. ,
  • 71', Gannoun K. , Farade K. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Farade K. ,
  • 79', Karamoko H. 🟨,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Meyer J. (Pen),
  • 81', Meyer J. , Guel M. ,
  • 82', Jean-Pierre M. , Sylla S. ,
  • 89', Bovis E. , Tchouatcha J. ,
  • 90', Besic B. , Lacour Q. ,
  • 90+1', Do Marcolino A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Farade K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Bourg-Péronnas
25.8%
Draw
30.5%
Fleury-Merogis
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 30.5% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 29.3% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Fleury-Merogis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Bourg-Péronnas - Fleury-Merogis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (3.18)
    3.06
    (3)
    2.13
    (2.25)
    7.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Bourg-Péronnas - Fleury-Merogis?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fleury-Merogis will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fleury-Merogis: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleury-Merogis will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent form of Bourg-Péronnas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fleury-Merogis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fleury-Merogis could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Bourg-Péronnas
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon21119135:142142
    2Rouen21118230:151541
    3Sochaux21116433:151839
    4Orleans21104728:31-334
    5Versailles20103726:22433
    6Le Puy-en-Velay2187630:23731
    7Fleury-Merogis2087525:16931
    8Aubagne2077626:24228
    9Caen21511524:23126
    10Concarneau2068620:22-226
    11Villefranche21741021:29-825
    12Valenciennes21651022:30-823
    13Paris 13 Atl2158821:29-823
    14Chateauroux20310720:26-619
    15Quevilly Rouen20451117:28-1117
    16Bourg en Bresse21451215:30-1517
    17Stade Briochin20271119:35-1613

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation