Southampton vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Southampton - Bournemouth
Result
1:3
15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 25
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
Southampton - Bournemouth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.16
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1114
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1513
Offsides
00
Fouls
1315
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1627
Touches in the Opposition Box
2331
Passes
80% (303/381)83% (392/474)
Passes in the final third
68% (96/141)76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (4/20)28% (5/18)
Tackles
67% (18/27)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
2928
Interceptions
117

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Cook L. 🟨,
  • 10', Smallbone W. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Christie R. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Christie R. ⚽, Kluivert J. (A),
  • 32', Semenyo A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Welington ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
  • 46', Wood N. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
  • 56', Smallbone W. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
  • 67', Brooks D. ↓, Tavernier M. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Sulemana K. ⚽, Onuachu P. (A),
  • 77', Kluivert J. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
  • 78', Tavernier M. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Tavernier M. ⚽, Semenyo A. (A),
  • 85', Aribo J. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
  • 85', Sulemana K. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
  • 88', Christie R. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
  • 88', Ouattara Da. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Southampton
15.9%		Draw
20%		Bournemouth
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 21.9% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 21.5% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
    •

    Southampton - Bournemouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.05 ↑
    (5.32)    		 4.86 ↑
    (4.4)    		 1.5 ↓
    (1.6)    		 3.6%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Southampton - Bournemouth?
  • Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (74 of 91 users predict this - 81.32%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.31% – 89.33%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 2.
    • S`hampton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bournemouth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Bournemouth is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Evanilson (Foot Injury) Hill J. (Thigh Injury) Scott A. (Knee Injury) Senesi M. (Thigh Injury) Smith A. (Leg Injury) Soler J. (International duty) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Downes F. (Knock) Fraser R. (Injury) Harwood-Bellis T. (Ankle Injury) Lallana A. (Thigh Injury) Stephens J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bournemouth: Sinisterra L. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:18 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Bournemouth were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Bournemouth - Southampton 3:1
    25.07.2023 Southampton - Bournemouth 2:3
    19.10.2022 Bournemouth - Southampton 0:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    08.02.2025 Southampton - Burnley 0:1 ✺
    01.02.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:2 ✺
    25.01.2025 Southampton - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺
    19.01.2025 Nottingham Forest - Southampton 3:2 ✺
    16.01.2025 Manchester United - Southampton 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    08.02.2025 Everton - Bournemouth 0:2
    01.02.2025 Bournemouth - Liverpool 0:2 ✺
    25.01.2025 Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest 5:0 ✺
    18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4 ✺
    14.01.2025 Chelsea - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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