Ipswich Town vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.58
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
187
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Long passes
45% (20/44)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)76% (69/91)
Crosses
35% (9/26)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.65
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
720
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4937
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.580.17
Goals prevented
-0.420.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Harwood-Bellis T. (Own goal),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Robinson J. , Fraser R. (A),
  • 41', Welington 🟨,
  • 42', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Welington , Manning R. ,
  • 69', Robinson J. , Matsuki K. ,
  • 69', Fernandes M. , Archer C. ,
  • 71', Philogene J. , Chaplin C. ,
  • 71', Clarke J. , Ogbene C. ,
  • 71', Taylor J. , Cajuste J. ,
  • 83', Armstrong A. , Dibling T. ,
  • 83', Fraser R. , Sugawara Y. ,
  • 86', Johnson B. , Young A. ,
  • 86', Matusiwa A. , Humphreys C. ,
  • 90+5', Charles S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ipswich Town
51.4%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Ipswich Town - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.02)
    3.78
    (3.53)
    4.45
    (3.58)
    1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 40%93.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - S`hampton (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - S`hampton (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 20%). S`hampton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
    • Ipswich is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • S`hampton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
    • Ipswich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Ipswich: Akpom Ch. (Inactive) Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ipswich: Philogene J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Dibling T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Southampton were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:2
    21.09.2024 Southampton - Ipswich Town 1:1
    01.04.2024 Ipswich Town - Southampton 3:2
    19.09.2023 Southampton - Ipswich Town 0:1
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich412112871:422975
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Southampton4220121073:502372
    5Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Portsmouth4212121843:57-1448
    20Blackburn4312121938:53-1548
    21West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One