Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (178/230) | 84% (336/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (178/230) | 84% (336/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (46/81) | 72% (68/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Saldana L. 🟨,
- 13', Lopez Y. 🟨,
- 15', Denis D. 🟨,
- 15', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Arango E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Lopez Y. ↓, Quiceno J. ↑,
- 60', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 61', Saldana L. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 61', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
- 67', Londono K. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
- 67', Camargo E. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
- 81', Pardo F. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Molina J. (Pen),
- 90+5', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
- 90+6', Fernandez W. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 90+10', Arango E. 🟨,
- 90+13', Molina J. ↓, Negrete J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ytjdzp82
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
31% | Draw
33.1% | Alianza Valledupar
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boyacá Chicó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.2) |
2.83 ↓
(3.1) |
2.61 ↓
(3.2) |
6.8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Alianza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3.
- In recent matches, Boyacá Chicó has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Alianza Valledupar?
Boyacá Chicó has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Boyacá Chicó?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
24.08.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Boyacá Chicó
4:0
19.02.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
05.09.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:1
26.01.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
