Boyacá Chicó vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Independencia (Tunja).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	1.53
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
77% (178/230)	84% (336/402)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.39	1.30
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
13	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
77% (178/230)	84% (336/402)
Long passes
50% (27/54)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)	72% (68/95)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.57
Throw-ins
8	17
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
82% (9/11)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
34	36
Clearances
25	19
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.30	1.39
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Saldana L. 🟨,
13', Lopez Y. 🟨,
15', Denis D. 🟨,
15', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Arango E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
46', Lopez Y. ↓, Quiceno J. ↑,
60', Banguero A. 🟨,
61', Saldana L. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
67', Londono K. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
67', Camargo E. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
81', Pardo F. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Molina J. (Pen),
90+5', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
90+6', Fernandez W. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
90+10', Arango E. 🟨,
90+13', Molina J. ↓, Negrete J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ytjdzp82

Chances of winning

Boyacá Chicó
31%

Draw
33.1%

Alianza Valledupar
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boyacá Chicó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.2)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.61 ↓ (3.2)	6.8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Alianza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3.
In recent matches, Boyacá Chicó has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alianza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Alianza Valledupar?

Boyacá Chicó has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Boyacá Chicó?

Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

24.08.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó 4:0

19.02.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

05.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó 1:1

26.01.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar 2:0

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

05.05.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

16.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó 4:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

11.05.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
4	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
5	Fortaleza	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
7	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
8	Alianza	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
10	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
11	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
12	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
13	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
14	Ind. Medellin	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
15	Pereira	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
16	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
17	Aguilas	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
18	Bucaramanga	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
19	Once Caldas	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Millonarios	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )