Braga vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Braga - Casa Pia
26/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Braga
66.2%
Draw
21.1%
Casa Pia
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 20.6% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 19.6% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Braga - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.4)
    4.44
    (4.55)
    7.53
    (7.76)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Braga - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.
    • Braga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Casa Pia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Braga is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Casa Pia were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Casa Pia - Braga 2:1
    29.12.2024 Braga - Casa Pia 1:2
    05.05.2024 Braga - Casa Pia 4:3
    30.12.2023 Casa Pia - Braga 1:3
    01.11.2023 Braga - Casa Pia 1:1
    Latest results of Braga
    18.10.2025 Bragança - Braga 0:1
    05.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2
    28.09.2025 Braga - Nacional 0:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    03.10.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2
    27.09.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 2:1
    21.09.2025 Casa Pia - Famalicão 1:1
    14.09.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:2
    30.08.2025 Casa Pia - Nacional 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto871019:11822
    2Sporting CP861120:51519
    3Gil Vicente961214:41019
    4Benfica853013:4918
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao83418:4413
    7Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    8Braga824212:8410
    9Nacional83149:12-310
    10Alverca931511:16-510
    11Arouca823310:19-99
    12Rio Ave815211:13-28
    13Santa Clara82246:10-48
    14Casa Pia82248:13-58
    15Estrela81436:8-27
    16Estoril813410:13-36
    17Tondela81254:14-105
    18AFS80175:20-151

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