Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/340) | 84% (405/481) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/340) | 84% (405/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 60% (34/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 74% (130/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Zalazar R. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Benaissa-Yahia F. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 69', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 69', Racic U. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Livolant J. ⚽, Cassiano (A),
- 80', Gomez V. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 80', Chissumba ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 82', Na Nhaga R. S. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 90+1', Cassiano ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 90+1', Livolant J. ↓, Monteiro I. ↑,
- 90+1', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
15.6% | Draw
23.2% | Braga
61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Casa Pia - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.04 ↑
(5.23) |
4.06 ↑
(3.7) |
1.55 ↓
(1.68) |
5.7%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Braga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- Casa Pia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Casa Pia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Caue
(Yellow Cards)
Fonte J.
(Red Card)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Mohamed I.
(Red Card)
Osundina K.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Braga?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Casa Pia?
Braga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Braga were as follows:
29.12.2024
Braga
-
Casa Pia
1:2
05.05.2024
Braga
-
Casa Pia
4:3
30.12.2023
Casa Pia
-
Braga
1:3
01.11.2023
Braga
-
Casa Pia
1:1
21.04.2023
Casa Pia
-
Braga
0:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
