Casa Pia vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Braga
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 33
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa, ZAP
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2, SportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
75% (255/340)84% (405/481)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.24
Total shots
521
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
75% (255/340)84% (405/481)
Long passes
40% (29/72)60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
57% (30/53)74% (130/176)
Crosses
45% (5/11)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.67
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1913
Tackles
91% (10/11)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
1612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.240.75
Goals prevented
0.24-1.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Zalazar R. , Horta R. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Benaissa-Yahia F. , Livolant J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', Pablo Roberto , Pereira H. ,
  • 69', Navarro F. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 69', Racic U. , Gharbi I. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Livolant J. , Cassiano (A),
  • 80', Gomez V. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 80', Chissumba , Martinez G. ,
  • 82', Na Nhaga R. S. , Brito R. ,
  • 90+1', Cassiano , Osundina K. ,
  • 90+1', Livolant J. , Monteiro I. ,
  • 90+1', Benaissa-Yahia F. , Tiago Dias ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
15.6%
Draw
23.2%
Braga
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 25.6% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 24.9% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Casa Pia - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.04
    (5.23)
    4.06
    (3.7)
    1.55
    (1.68)
    5.7%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Braga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Braga will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
    • Casa Pia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Casa Pia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Caue (Yellow Cards) Fonte J. (Red Card) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury) Mohamed I. (Red Card) Osundina K. (Inactive) Tchamba D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Braga were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Braga - Casa Pia 1:2
    05.05.2024 Braga - Casa Pia 4:3
    30.12.2023 Casa Pia - Braga 1:3
    01.11.2023 Braga - Casa Pia 1:1
    21.04.2023 Casa Pia - Braga 0:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    04.05.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:0
    29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3
    19.04.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 1:1
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0
    Latest results of Braga
    03.05.2025 Braga - Santa Clara 1:1
    25.04.2025 Famalicão - Braga 1:1
    19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2
    13.04.2025 Braga - AVS 4:1
    07.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2