Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Lithuania | Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
75% (255/340) | 84% (405/481) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.75 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
75% (255/340) | 84% (405/481) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (29/72) | 60% (34/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (30/53) | 74% (130/176) |
Crosses |
---|
45% (5/11) | 16% (5/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
91% (10/11) | 45% (5/11) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 0.75 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.24 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Zalazar R. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Benaissa-Yahia F. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 69', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 69', Racic U. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Livolant J. ⚽, Cassiano (A),
- 80', Gomez V. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 80', Chissumba ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 82', Na Nhaga R. S. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 90+1', Cassiano ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 90+1', Livolant J. ↓, Monteiro I. ↑,
- 90+1', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia 15.6% | Draw 23.2% | Braga 61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Casa Pia - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.04 ↑ (5.23) |
4.06 ↑ (3.7) |
1.55 ↓ (1.68) |
5.7% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Braga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- Casa Pia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Casa Pia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Caue
(Yellow Cards)
Fonte J.
(Red Card)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Mohamed I.
(Red Card)
Osundina K.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Braga?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Casa Pia?
Braga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Braga were as follows:
29.12.2024
Braga
-
Casa Pia
1:2
05.05.2024
Braga
-
Casa Pia
4:3
30.12.2023
Casa Pia
-
Braga
1:3
01.11.2023
Braga
-
Casa Pia
1:1
21.04.2023
Casa Pia
-
Braga
0:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2