Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (473/541) | 78% (228/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (473/541) | 78% (228/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/113) | 55% (43/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Kaly 🟨,
- 35', Osundina K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Osundina K. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 50', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 69', Conte A. ↓, Rosas P. ↑,
- 69', Jandro ↓, Xeka ↑,
- 76', Larrazabal G. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
- 77', Perez S. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 83', Carvalho P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 86', Livolant J. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 90', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
54.3% | Draw
24.8% | Casa Pia
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Estoril Praia - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.89) |
3.81 ↑
(3.72) |
4.46 ↑
(4.3) |
5.8%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estoril Praia will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Boma K.
(Inactive)
Carvalho J.
(Yellow Cards)
Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
Lacximicant A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Sousa D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Inactive)
Fonte J.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Ofori L.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Casa Pia?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estoril Praia?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Casa Pia were as follows:
03.10.2025
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
29.04.2025
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
1:3
15.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
0:2
08.04.2024
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
0:0
10.11.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
4:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
