Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/04/2026 at 11:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
66
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
63%54%
1st serve points won
69% (31/45)64% (23/36)
2nd serve points won
62% (16/26)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
1/23/6
1st return points won
39% (14/36)31% (14/45)
2nd return points won
55% (17/31)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
3/61/2
Winners
2521
Unforced errors
2330
Net points won
67% (10/15)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
66% (47/71)57% (35/61)
Return Points Won
43% (26/61)34% (24/71)
Total Points Won
55% (73/132)45% (59/132)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
47.9%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.7)

    1.83
    (2.07)
    5.2%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 51.5%92.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 69.
    • In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cerundolo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T.
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2