Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
64%63%
1st serve points won
82% (23/28)59% (20/34)
2nd serve points won
50% (8/16)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
1/24/9
1st return points won
41% (14/34)18% (5/28)
2nd return points won
60% (12/20)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
5/91/2
Winners
216
Unforced errors
1720
Net points won
43% (3/7)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
70% (31/44)52% (28/54)
Return Points Won
48% (26/54)30% (13/44)
Total Points Won
58% (57/98)42% (41/98)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
03
Service games won
88% (7/8)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)13% (1/8)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Arthur Fils
73.2%
Brandon Nakashima
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.
  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.45)

    3.58
    (2.63)
    4.7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 24 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Nakashima (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Nakashima (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 3 - 60%). Nakashima (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Change in tournament draw.
    • Fils is ranked ATP: 30. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fils is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
    13.04.2026 Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils Canceled
    15.08.2024 Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils 2:0
    22.08.2023 Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima 1:2
    26.05.2023 Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima 2:1
    Latest results of Arthur Fils
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2