AEK Larnaca vs Brann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AEK Arena (Larnaca).

Europa League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Norway	VG+
Slovakia	Arena sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.59
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
75% (245/326)	78% (371/474)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	2.25
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
21	30
Accurate through passes
1	5
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
75% (245/326)	78% (371/474)
Long passes
55% (42/76)	44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
55% (40/73)	68% (132/193)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.88
Throw-ins
17	26
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
45% (5/11)	25% (5/20)
Duels won
41	54
Clearances
28	27
Interceptions
13	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.25	0.74
Goals prevented
-1.75	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
39', Saborit E. 🟥,
45+1', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽, Sorensen J. (A),
45+3', Sorensen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Miramon ↑,
65', Castro N. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
65', Magnusson S. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
72', Cabrera E. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
72', Ivanovic D. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Knudsen F. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
77', Knudsen F. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
80', Myhre F. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Remmem L. (A),
88', Chacon Y. ↓, Thoma C. ↑,
88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,

Chances of winning

AEK Larnaca
42%

Draw
27.1%

Brann
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for AEK Larnaca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

AEK Larnaca - Brann Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)	7.3% (12%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Brann?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 45.5% – 78.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
AEK Larnaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Brann?

AEK Larnaca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against AEK Larnaca?

Brann has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Brann were as follows:

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1

Latest results of AEK Larnaca

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Brann

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Tromsø - Brann 1:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Brann - Häcken 0:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Häcken - Brann 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:4 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)