AEK Larnaca vs Brann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League AEK Larnaca - Brann
Result
0:4
27/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
norwayNorwayVG+
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.59
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (245/326)78% (371/474)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.742.25
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2130
Accurate through passes
15
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
137
Passes
75% (245/326)78% (371/474)
Long passes
55% (42/76)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
55% (40/73)68% (132/193)
Crosses
31% (5/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.88
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
815
Tackles
45% (5/11)25% (5/20)
Duels won
4154
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
133
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.250.74
Goals prevented
-1.750.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
  • 39', Saborit E. 🟥,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Castro N. , Sorensen J. (A),
  • 45+3', Sorensen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Jimmy Suarez , Miramon ,
  • 65', Castro N. , Hansen M. ,
  • 65', Magnusson S. , Finne B. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Hansen M. , Soltvedt J. (A),
  • 72', Cabrera E. , Bajic R. ,
  • 72', Ivanovic D. , Angielski K. ,
  • 75', 0 - 3, Knudsen F. , Soltvedt J. (A),
  • 77', Knudsen F. , De Roeve D. ,
  • 77', Gudmundsson E. , Haaland M. ,
  • 80', Myhre F. , Remmem L. ,
  • 87', 0 - 4, Soltvedt J. , Remmem L. (A),
  • 88', Chacon Y. , Thoma C. ,
  • 88', Ledes Gustavo , Mathias Gonzalez ,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
42%
Draw
27.1%
Brann
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 26.8% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 27.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for AEK Larnaca aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Brann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.2)
    3.44
    (3.33)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    7.3%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Brann?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 45.5%78.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • AEK Larnaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Brann were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    14.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1
    31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1
    24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    Latest results of Brann
    21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    17.08.2025 Tromsø - Brann 1:2
    14.08.2025 Brann - Häcken 0:1
    07.08.2025 Häcken - Brann 0:2
    02.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:4
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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