Result
0:4
27/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/326) | 78% (371/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/326) | 78% (371/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (42/76) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 68% (132/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 25% (5/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
- 39', Saborit E. 🟥,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽, Sorensen J. (A),
- 45+3', Sorensen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Miramon ↑,
- 65', Castro N. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 65', Magnusson S. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
- 72', Cabrera E. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
- 72', Ivanovic D. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 3, Knudsen F. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
- 77', Knudsen F. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
- 77', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
- 80', Myhre F. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 4, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Remmem L. (A),
- 88', Chacon Y. ↓, Thoma C. ↑,
- 88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
42% | Draw
27.1% | Brann
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)The ML Model estimate for AEK Larnaca aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
AEK Larnaca - Brann Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.2) |
3.44 ↑
(3.33) |
3.01 ↑
(2.74) |
7.3%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Brann?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 45.5% – 78.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 7 - 70%). Brann (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Brann (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - AEK Larnaca (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - AEK Larnaca (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - AEK Larnaca (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - AEK Larnaca (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - AEK Larnaca (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Brann (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- AEK Larnaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Brann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Brann?
AEK Larnaca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against AEK Larnaca?
Brann has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Brann were as follows:
21.08.2025
Brann
-
AEK Larnaca
2:1
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
