AEK Larnaca vs Brann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AEK Arena (Larnaca).

Europa League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Norway	VG+
Slovakia	Arena sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.59
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
75% (245/326)	78% (371/474)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	2.25
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
21	30
Accurate through passes
1	5
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
75% (245/326)	78% (371/474)
Long passes
55% (42/76)	44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
55% (40/73)	68% (132/193)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.88
Throw-ins
17	26
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
45% (5/11)	25% (5/20)
Duels won
41	54
Clearances
28	27
Interceptions
13	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.25	0.74
Goals prevented
-1.75	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
39', Saborit E. 🟥,
45+1', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽, Sorensen J. (A),
45+3', Sorensen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Miramon ↑,
65', Castro N. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
65', Magnusson S. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
72', Cabrera E. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
72', Ivanovic D. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Knudsen F. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
77', Knudsen F. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
80', Myhre F. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Remmem L. (A),
88', Chacon Y. ↓, Thoma C. ↑,
88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,

Chances of winning

AEK Larnaca
42%

Draw
27.1%

Brann
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.7%

31.5%

AEK Larnaca - Brann Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)	7.3% (12%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Brann?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 45.5% – 78.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Brann (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - AEK Larnaca (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - AEK Larnaca (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - AEK Larnaca (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - AEK Larnaca (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - AEK Larnaca (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Brann (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
AEK Larnaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Brann?

AEK Larnaca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against AEK Larnaca?

Brann has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Brann were as follows:

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1

Latest results of AEK Larnaca

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Brann

21.08.2025 Brann - AEK Larnaca 2:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Tromsø - Brann 1:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Brann - Häcken 0:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Häcken - Brann 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:4 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lyon	6	5	0	1	13:3	10	15
2	Midtjylland	6	5	0	1	13:5	8	15
3	Aston Villa	6	5	0	1	10:4	6	15
4	Betis	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14
5	Freiburg	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
6	Ferencvaros	6	4	2	0	11:6	5	14
7	Braga	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
8	FC Porto	6	4	1	1	9:5	4	13
9	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	12:5	7	12
10	AS Roma	6	4	0	2	10:5	5	12
11	Nottingham	6	3	2	1	11:6	5	11
12	Fenerbahce	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
13	Bologna	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
14	Plzen	6	2	4	0	6:2	4	10
15	Panathinaikos	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
16	Genk	6	3	1	2	7:6	1	10
17	Crvena zvezda	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
18	PAOK	6	2	3	1	13:10	3	9
19	Celta Vigo	6	3	0	3	12:9	3	9
20	Lille	6	3	0	3	10:7	3	9
21	Young Boys	6	3	0	3	8:12	-4	9
22	Brann	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
23	Ludogorets	6	2	1	3	11:14	-3	7
24	Celtic	6	2	1	3	7:11	-4	7
25	Din. Zagreb	6	2	1	3	8:13	-5	7
26	Basel	6	2	0	4	8:9	-1	6
27	FCSB	6	2	0	4	7:11	-4	6
28	G.A. Eagles	6	2	0	4	5:11	-6	6
29	Sturm Graz	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
30	Feyenoord	6	1	0	5	7:13	-6	3
31	Salzburg	6	1	0	5	5:11	-6	3
32	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	3:9	-6	1
33	Rangers	6	0	1	5	3:11	-8	1
34	Malmo FF	6	0	1	5	3:12	-9	1
35	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	0	1	5	2:18	-16	1
36	Nice	6	0	0	6	4:13	-9	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)