Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 2
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (396/522) | 66% (217/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (396/522) | 66% (217/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/79) | 44% (38/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (107/173) | 54% (61/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ⚽, Larsen H. (A),
- 38', Guddal T. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Myhre F. ⚽, Finne B. (A),
- 45+3', Boakye N. ↓, Holten R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Braut D. ⚽,
- 54', Larsen L. O. 🟨,
- 59', Pedersen T. ↓, Ingason K. M. ↑,
- 59', Finne B. ↓, Mathisen U. ↑,
- 59', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
- 61', Holm N. 🟨,
- 70', Braut D. ↓, Ekblom V. ↑,
- 80', Larsen H. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
- 90+2', Nyhammer T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Larsen L. O. ↓, Kinteh A. S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brann
47.7% | Draw
26.7% | Tromsø
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Brann - Tromsø Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.09) |
3.56 ↑
(3.54) |
3.69 ↑
(3.34) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brann - Tromsø?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tromsø will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brann: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 50%). Tromsø (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Tromsø (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Tromsø (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 25%). Tromsø (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Brann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brann has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.
- Brann is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brann: Castro N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gudmundsson E.
(Knee Injury)
Magnusson S.
(Knee Injury)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
Torsvik J.
(Knock)
Wassberg N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Tromsø: Grundt J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brann won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Tromsø?
Brann has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Brann?
Tromsø has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Tromsø were as follows:
17.08.2025
Tromsø
-
Brann
1:2
06.04.2025
Brann
-
Tromsø
3:1
02.03.2025
Brann
-
Tromsø
1:0
27.10.2024
Brann
-
Tromsø
4:0
01.04.2024
Tromsø
-
Brann
2:4
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Viking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Valerenga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fredrikstad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Molde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brann | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | HamKam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Start | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
