Result
0:5
29/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 17
- Referee: Kringstad M. S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 79% (403/507) | 78% (370/474) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.92 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.06 | 3.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 48 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
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| 79% (403/507) | 78% (370/474) |
| Long passes |
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| 56% (37/66) | 33% (22/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (93/138) | 60% (77/129) |
| Crosses |
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| 50% (11/22) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.94 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
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| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (8/12) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 58 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.30 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.70 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 19', 0 - 1, Ingason K. M. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Ingason K. M. ⚽,
- 27', Larsen H. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 3, Ingason K. M. ⚽, De Roeve D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Innvaer S. ↑,
- 46', De Roeve D. ↓, Soltvedt J. ↑,
- 46', Kinteh A. S. ↓, Skjaervik V. ↑,
- 46', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 4, Mathisen U. ⚽,
- 61', Mathisen U. ↓, Holm N. ↑,
- 61', Knudsen F. ↓, Mbacke D. ↑,
- 68', Jenssen R. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
- 70', Edvardsson D. 🟨,
- 76', Ingason K. M. ↓, Wassberg N. ↑,
- 78', Larsen L. O. 🟨,
- 84', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
- 87', Sorensen J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 5, Haaland M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tromsø 49.8% | Draw 25.5% | Brann 24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Tromsø - Brann Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.06) |
3.71 ↑ (3.67) |
3.8 ↑ (3.46) |
5.8% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tromsø - Brann?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Tromsø will win
(37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tromsø will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 1.
- Tromsø has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Brann has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.
- Tromsø could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tromsø: Ekblom V.
(Groin Injury)
Grundt J.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Brann: Boakye N.
(Knee Injury)
Castro N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gudmundsson E.
(Knee Injury)
Magnusson S.
(Knee Injury)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Brann: Torsvik J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Brann?
Tromsø has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Tromsø?
Brann has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Brann were as follows:
22.03.2026
Brann
-
Tromsø
1:2
17.08.2025
Tromsø
-
Brann
1:2
06.04.2025
Brann
-
Tromsø
3:1
02.03.2025
Brann
-
Tromsø
1:0
27.10.2024
Brann
-
Tromsø
4:0
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen