Náutico Marcílio Dias vs Brasil de Pelotas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas
Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Felipe Baiano ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Marcílio Dias
65.5%
Draw
22.5%
Brasil de Pelotas
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 23.6% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 22.3% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.45)
    4.03
    (3.9)
    7.57
    (7.14)
    10.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Marcílio Dias is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Brasil de Pelotas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Marcílio Dias is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Marcílio Dias will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:2
    Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
    Latest results of Brasil de Pelotas
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1