Result
1:1
22/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (310/398) | 76% (257/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (310/398) | 76% (257/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 69% (95/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Nakkim M. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. (Pen),
- 67', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
- 67', Antonsson B. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
- 78', Heimisson L. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 78', Skoglund A. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
- 84', Jonsson K. ↓, Orrason A. ↑,
- 89', Omarsson O. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Haraldsson T. (Pen),
- 90+9', Thomsen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Valur
44.4% | Draw
23.4% | Breiðablik
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Valur - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.2) |
4.06 ↑
(3.9) |
2.93 ↑
(2.86) |
6.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Valur - Breiðablik?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Breiðablik will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
- Valur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Breiðablik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Breiðablik?
Valur has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Valur?
Breiðablik has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Breiðablik were as follows:
10.08.2025
Valur
-
Breiðablik
2:1
19.05.2025
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:1
06.10.2024
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:2
15.08.2024
Valur
-
Breiðablik
0:2
06.05.2024
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:3
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | Valur | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 57:40 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 47:41 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Fram | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
