Result
2:1
10/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 18
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland, SÝN Sport Viaplay |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/419) | 72% (240/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/419) | 72% (240/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 62% (102/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Muminovic D. ⚽, Gunnlaugsson H. (A),
- 39', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Skoglund A. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
- 63', Hallsson G. ↓, Ingvarsson D. ↑,
- 67', Johannsson A. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Antonsson B. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
- 74', Muminovic D. 🟨,
- 74', Heimisson L. 🟨,
- 75', Thomsen T. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 75', Omarsson O. ↓, Orrason A. ↑,
- 79', Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 80', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
- 81', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 81', Larusson S. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 90+2', Omarsson O. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
Chances of winning
Valur
41.6% | Draw
25.4% | Breiðablik
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Valur - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.13) |
3.73 ↓
(3.8) |
2.88 ↓
(2.99) |
5.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Valur - Breiðablik?
Users Predictions:
Valur will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
- In recent matches, Valur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breiðablik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Valur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:44. (average 1.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Breiðablik?
Valur has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Valur?
Breiðablik has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Breiðablik were as follows:
19.05.2025
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:1
06.10.2024
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:2
15.08.2024
Valur
-
Breiðablik
0:2
06.05.2024
Breiðablik
-
Valur
2:3
28.09.2023
Valur
-
Breiðablik
4:2
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Akranes | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
