Valur vs Breiðablik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Valur - Breiðablik
Result
2:1
10/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 18
  • Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland, SÝN Sport Viaplay
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
79% (332/419)72% (240/334)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.33
Total shots
109
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
20
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
79% (332/419)72% (240/334)
Long passes
35% (25/72)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)62% (102/165)
Crosses
28% (5/18)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.82
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1213
Tackles
75% (6/8)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4730
Clearances
4637
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
1.331.53
Goals prevented
0.33-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Muminovic D. , Gunnlaugsson H. (A),
  • 39', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Skoglund A. , Heimisson L. ,
  • 63', Hallsson G. , Ingvarsson D. ,
  • 67', Johannsson A. , Lundemo M. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Antonsson B. , Haraldsson T. (A),
  • 74', Muminovic D. 🟨,
  • 74', Heimisson L. 🟨,
  • 75', Thomsen T. , Kristinsson K. ,
  • 75', Omarsson O. , Orrason A. ,
  • 79', Jonsson A. 🟨,
  • 80', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
  • 81', Jonsson J. , Palsson J. ,
  • 81', Larusson S. , Palsson A. ,
  • 90+2', Omarsson O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Omarsson O. , Haraldsson T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Valur
41.6%
Draw
25.4%
Breiðablik
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 24.7% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 24.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Valur - Breiðablik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.13)
    3.73
    (3.8)
    2.88
    (2.99)
    5.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Valur - Breiðablik?
  • Users Predictions: Valur will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
    • In recent matches, Valur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breiðablik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Valur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:44. (average 1.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Breiðablik were as follows:
    19.05.2025 Breiðablik - Valur 2:1
    06.10.2024 Breiðablik - Valur 2:2
    15.08.2024 Valur - Breiðablik 0:2
    06.05.2024 Breiðablik - Valur 2:3
    28.09.2023 Valur - Breiðablik 4:2
    Latest results of Valur
    05.08.2025 Akraness - Valur 2:2
    31.07.2025 Valur - Kauno Žalgiris 1:2
    27.07.2025 Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur 3:1
    24.07.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Valur 1:1
    20.07.2025 Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur 1:2
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur ✔ 21124552:331940
    2Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 21116440:271339
    3Stjarnan ✔ 21114641:34737
    4Breidablik ✔ 2096536:31533
    5Hafnarfjordur2185839:33629
    6Fram2184930:29128
    7Vestmannaeyjar2184923:27-428
    8Vestri21831022:24-227
    9KA Akureyri2175925:38-1326
    10KR Reykjavik ✔ 2166942:44-224
    11Afturelding ✔ 21561028:36-821
    12Akranes ✔ 20511420:42-2216

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )