Breno vs Pavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Maglione R. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Tagliani M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 2, ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Breno
50.2%
Draw
25.8%
Pavia
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.7% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 24.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Breno - Pavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.77
    (3.7)
    10.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Breno is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Breno
    18.01.2026 Leon - Breno 3:1
    11.01.2026 Breno - Vogherese 2:1
    04.01.2026 Castellanzese - Breno 0:2
    21.12.2025 Villa Valle - Breno 4:0
    14.12.2025 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    Latest results of Pavia
    18.01.2026 Pavia - Oltrepo 0:0
    11.01.2026 Milan Futuro - Pavia 0:1
    06.01.2026 Pavia - Caldiero Terme 1:3
    21.12.2025 Pavia - Chievo 0:2
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese341911458:273168
    2USD Casatese341613549:282161
    3Chievo341861052:43960
    4AC Milan U23341681062:372556
    5Leon341411944:341053
    6Brusaporto341561341:38351
    7Oltrepo341581138:36250
    8Scanzorosciate341114941:33847
    9Villa Valle341381343:46-347
    10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:31246
    11Caldiero Terme341015950:401045
    12Real Calepina341191442:47-542
    13Castellanzese3410111341:39241
    14Breno349111439:51-1238
    15Pavia349101536:47-1137
    16Varesina347151238:44-636
    17Sondrio34871937:64-2731
    18Vogherese34282421:80-59-17

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation