Breno vs Vogherese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Breno
53.1%
Draw
26.6%
Vogherese
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 26.9% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 26.4% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breno's performance.
  • Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vogherese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Breno - Vogherese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.3)
    3.4
    (3.38)
    4.44
    (2.71)
    10.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Recent performances by Breno have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vogherese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Breno is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Breno
    04.01.2026 Castellanzese - Breno 0:2
    21.12.2025 Villa Valle - Breno 4:0
    14.12.2025 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    07.12.2025 Brusaporto - Breno 3:2
    30.11.2025 Breno - Real Calepina 2:1
    Latest results of Vogherese
    04.01.2026 Vogherese - Oltrepo 0:1
    21.12.2025 Vogherese - Milan Futuro 2:2
    14.12.2025 Caldiero Terme - Vogherese 2:2
    30.11.2025 Casatese - Vogherese 4:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to