Lorient vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lorient - Brest
Result
3:3
19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.46
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
83% (323/391)84% (342/407)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.21
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
83% (323/391)84% (342/407)
Long passes
36% (14/39)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
75% (77/102)68% (67/99)
Crosses
33% (6/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.62
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1316
Tackles
100% (11/11)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.211.77
Goals prevented
-0.79-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Le Bris T. , Kouassi A. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Dina Ebimbe J. , Locko B. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Makengo J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 52', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Kouassi A. , Le Bris T. (A),
  • 62', Makengo J. , Tosin A. ,
  • 64', Dina Ebimbe J. , Labeau Lascary R. ,
  • 64', Doumbia K. , Tousart L. ,
  • 72', Bamba M. , Soumano S. ,
  • 72', Pagis P. , Dieng B. ,
  • 78', Lala K. , Le Cardinal J. ,
  • 83', Kouassi A. , Yongwa D. ,
  • 83', Le Bris T. , Mvuka Mugisha J. ,
  • 84', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
  • 88', Del Castillo R. , Mboup P. ,
  • 89', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Soumano S. , Dieng B. (A),
  • 90+4', Tosin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
40%
Draw
30.3%
Brest
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 28.1% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 29.3% 32.1%

Lorient - Brest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.46
(2.48)
3.38
(3.38)
3.6
(2.84)
-1.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Brest will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 41%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 30.6%61.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
    • Lorient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brest has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (International duty) Labeau Lascary R. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Del Castillo R. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury) Zogbe L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Brest were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Lorient - Brest 1:1
    31.03.2024 Lorient - Brest 0:1
    20.12.2023 Brest - Lorient 4:0
    07.05.2023 Lorient - Brest 2:1
    09.10.2022 Brest - Lorient 1:2
    Latest results of Lorient
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    Latest results of Brest
    04.10.2025 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    28.09.2025 Angers - Brest 0:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

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