Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 87% (442/508) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 87% (442/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 70% (45/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (57/104) | 79% (107/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Magnetti H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
- 63', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 63', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 64', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 73', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 74', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
- 80', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 80', Avom A. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 83', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 90+2', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brest
40.8% | Draw
30.5% | Lorient
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Brest - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.29) |
3.13 ↑
(3.07) |
3.29 ↓
(3.39) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Brest - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 27.9% – 64.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lorient (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lorient (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lorient (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lorient (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lorient (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Lorient (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
- Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lorient is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brest will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Thigh Injury)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lorient?
Brest has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Brest?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lorient were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lorient
-
Brest
3:3
20.07.2024
Lorient
-
Brest
1:1
31.03.2024
Lorient
-
Brest
0:1
20.12.2023
Brest
-
Lorient
4:0
07.05.2023
Lorient
-
Brest
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
