Brest vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.710.77
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
52
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Passes
77% (283/366)87% (442/508)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.710.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.640.07
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
64
Shots outside the box
59
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1011
Passes
77% (283/366)87% (442/508)
Long passes
45% (30/67)70% (45/64)
Passes in final third
55% (57/104)79% (107/135)
Crosses
9% (2/22)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.70
Throw ins
1313
Fouls
1110
Tackles
40% (8/20)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
3529
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.071.64
Goals prevented
0.07-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Magnetti H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Labeau Lascary R. ,
  • 63', Dieng B. , Soumano S. ,
  • 63', Makengo J. , Tosin A. ,
  • 64', Kouassi A. , Yongwa D. ,
  • 73', Pagis P. , Karim D. ,
  • 74', Labeau Lascary R. , Dina Ebimbe J. ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ,
  • 80', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 80', Avom A. , Bamba M. ,
  • 83', Doumbia K. , Tousart L. ,
  • 90+2', Del Castillo R. , Mboup P. ,

Chances of winning


Brest
40.8%
Draw
30.5%
Lorient
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 32.4% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Brest - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.29)
    3.13
    (3.07)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Brest - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 27.9%64.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lorient (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Lorient (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lorient (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lorient (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lorient (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Lorient (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
    • Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lorient is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Brest will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Thigh Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lorient were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Lorient - Brest 3:3
    20.07.2024 Lorient - Brest 1:1
    31.03.2024 Lorient - Brest 0:1
    20.12.2023 Brest - Lorient 4:0
    07.05.2023 Lorient - Brest 2:1
    Latest results of Brest
    01.02.2026 Nice - Brest 2:2
    25.01.2026 Brest - Toulouse 0:2
    18.01.2026 Lyon - Brest 2:1
    04.01.2026 Brest - Auxerre 2:0
    19.12.2025 Avranches - Brest 2:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    04.02.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1
    24.01.2026 Rennes - Lorient 0:2
    16.01.2026 Monaco - Lorient 1:3
    10.01.2026 Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient 1:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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