Result
3:3
19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 84% (342/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 84% (342/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (77/102) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Le Bris T. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Locko B. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Makengo J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Faye A. 🟨,
- 52', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Kouassi A. ⚽, Le Bris T. (A),
- 62', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 64', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 64', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 72', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 72', Pagis P. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 78', Lala K. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
- 83', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 83', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 84', Meite B. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 3, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
- 88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 89', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 3, Soumano S. ⚽, Dieng B. (A),
- 90+4', Tosin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
40% | Draw
30.3% | Brest
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Lorient - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.48) |
3.38 ↓
(3.38) |
3.6 ↑
(2.84) |
-1.9%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Brest?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Brest will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 41%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 30.6% – 61.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
- Lorient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brest has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lorient: Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J.
(International duty)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Del Castillo R.
(Muscle Injury)
Tousart L.
(Ankle Injury)
Zogbe L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Brest?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lorient?
Brest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Brest were as follows:
20.07.2024
Lorient
-
Brest
1:1
31.03.2024
Lorient
-
Brest
0:1
20.12.2023
Brest
-
Lorient
4:0
07.05.2023
Lorient
-
Brest
2:1
09.10.2022
Brest
-
Lorient
1:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
