Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 2, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
88% (553/628) | 86% (308/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 0.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.97 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
88% (553/628) | 86% (308/359) |
Long passes |
---|
74% (40/54) | 50% (17/34) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (128/171) | 70% (46/66) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (10/23) | 7% (1/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.21 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
72% (18/25) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.09 | 1.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
- 56', Ferri J. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
- 66', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 66', Ndiaye J. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 68', Doumbia K. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
- 68', Del Castillo R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 75', Mouanga Y. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
- 81', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 87', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 89', Fayad K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest 70.9% | Draw 17.5% | Montpellier 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Montpellier aligns with the current prediction.
Brest - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.38) |
5.43 ↑ (5.06) |
8.32 ↑ (7.81) |
4.7% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 54.7% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
- Brest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brest is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Amavi J.
(Injury)
Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Le Cardinal J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maamma O.
(International duty)
Pays N.
(Foot Injury)
Sylla I.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Delort A.
(Illness)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Sagnan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Tchato E.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Montpellier?
Brest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Brest?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Montpellier were as follows:
10.11.2024
Montpellier
-
Brest
3:1
14.01.2024
Brest
-
Montpellier
2:0
26.11.2023
Montpellier
-
Brest
1:3
12.02.2023
Montpellier
-
Brest
3:0
28.08.2022
Brest
-
Montpellier
0:7
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2