Brest vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.56
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (553/628)86% (308/359)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.09
Total shots
166
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3512
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
88% (553/628)86% (308/359)
Long passes
74% (40/54)50% (17/34)
Passes in final third
75% (128/171)70% (46/66)
Crosses
43% (10/23)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.55
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1418
Tackles
72% (18/25)60% (12/20)
Duels won
6347
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.091.97
Goals prevented
0.090.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
  • 56', Ferri J. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
  • 66', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
  • 66', Ndiaye J. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
  • 68', Doumbia K. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
  • 68', Del Castillo R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 75', Mouanga Y. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
  • 81', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
  • 87', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
  • 89', Fayad K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brest
70.9%		Draw
17.5%		Montpellier
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 18.8% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 17.8% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Montpellier aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Brest - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.35 ↓
    (1.38)    		 5.43 ↑
    (5.06)    		 8.32 ↑
    (7.81)    		 4.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Brest - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 54.7% – 88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Brest (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brest will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
    • Brest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brest is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Injury) Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Hamstring Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (International duty) Pays N. (Foot Injury) Sylla I. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Delort A. (Illness) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Sagnan M. (Thigh Injury) Tchato E. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Montpellier were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Montpellier - Brest 3:1
    14.01.2024 Brest - Montpellier 2:0
    26.11.2023 Montpellier - Brest 1:3
    12.02.2023 Montpellier - Brest 3:0
    28.08.2022 Brest - Montpellier 0:7
    Latest results of Brest
    27.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 4:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    27.04.2025 Montpellier - Reims 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Montpellier 5:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Angers - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG23173352:193354
    2Lens23171544:202452
    3Lyon23143637:231445
    4Marseille23124748:311740
    5Lille23114836:31537
    6Rennes23107637:35237
    7Strasbourg23104939:30934
    8Monaco23104938:36234
    9Lorient2388732:36-432
    10Toulouse2387833:27631
    11Brest2386931:34-330
    12Angers23851022:28-629
    13Le Havre2368920:29-926
    14Nice23661130:43-1324
    15Paris FC23581027:40-1323
    16Auxerre23451417:33-1617
    17Nantes23451422:40-1817
    18Metz23341622:52-3013

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