Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (553/628) | 86% (308/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (553/628) | 86% (308/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (40/54) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (128/171) | 70% (46/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
- 56', Ferri J. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
- 66', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 66', Ndiaye J. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 68', Doumbia K. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
- 68', Del Castillo R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 75', Mouanga Y. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
- 81', Ajorque L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 87', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 89', Fayad K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
70.9% | Draw
17.5% | Montpellier
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Montpellier aligns with the current prediction.
Brest - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.38) |
5.43 ↑
(5.06) |
8.32 ↑
(7.81) |
4.7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 54.7% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Brest (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brest will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
- Brest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brest is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Amavi J.
(Injury)
Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Le Cardinal J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maamma O.
(International duty)
Pays N.
(Foot Injury)
Sylla I.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Delort A.
(Illness)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Sagnan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Tchato E.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Montpellier?
Brest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Brest?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Montpellier were as follows:
10.11.2024
Montpellier
-
Brest
3:1
14.01.2024
Brest
-
Montpellier
2:0
26.11.2023
Montpellier
-
Brest
1:3
12.02.2023
Montpellier
-
Brest
3:0
28.08.2022
Brest
-
Montpellier
0:7
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
