Brest vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.391.53
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
79% (319/403)83% (405/486)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.391.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.77
Total shots
247
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
811
Passes
79% (319/403)83% (405/486)
Long passes
53% (31/59)35% (25/71)
Passes in final third
57% (62/109)64% (47/73)
Crosses
25% (6/24)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.66
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (10/15)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4260
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.772.28
Goals prevented
-0.231.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
  • 23', Marchetti V. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Marchetti V. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
  • 46', Balde M. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
  • 51', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
  • 60', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 61', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 68', Makalou H. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
  • 78', Doumbia K. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
  • 84', Otavio 🟥,
  • 86', Locko B. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
  • 87', Kebbal I. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brest
39.2%		Draw
27.6%		Paris FC
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 27.4% 27.5%

Brest - Paris FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.4 ↑
(2.12)		 3.5 ↓
(3.57)		 2.95 ↓
(3.39)		 4.1%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 29.3% – 66.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paris FC (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Brest: Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Magnetti H. (Red Card) Majecki R. (Red Card) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Ikone J. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Dina Ebimbe J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Traore H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Brest
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3 ✺
    09.08.2025 Brest - Sassuolo 1:1
    03.08.2025 Napoli - Brest 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    06.08.2025 Paris FC - UNFP 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens17131331:131840
    2PSG17123237:152239
    3Marseille17102536:171932
    4Lille17102533:221132
    5Lyon1793525:17830
    6Rennes1786329:24530
    7Strasbourg1773726:21524
    8Toulouse1765624:22223
    9Monaco1772827:30-323
    10Angers1764718:20-222
    11Brest1764723:27-422
    12Lorient1747620:29-919
    13Le Havre1746715:23-818
    14Nice1753920:30-1018
    15Paris FC1744922:31-916
    16Nantes1735916:28-1214
    17Auxerre17331114:27-1312
    18Metz17331118:38-2012

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