Brest vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.391.53
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
79% (319/403)83% (405/486)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.391.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.77
Total shots
247
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
811
Passes
79% (319/403)83% (405/486)
Long passes
53% (31/59)35% (25/71)
Passes in final third
57% (62/109)64% (47/73)
Crosses
25% (6/24)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.66
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (10/15)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4260
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.772.28
Goals prevented
-0.231.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
  • 23', Marchetti V. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Marchetti V. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
  • 46', Balde M. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
  • 51', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
  • 60', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 61', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 68', Makalou H. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
  • 78', Doumbia K. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
  • 84', Otavio 🟥,
  • 86', Locko B. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
  • 87', Kebbal I. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brest
39.2%		Draw
27.6%		Paris FC
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 27.4% 27.5%

Brest - Paris FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.4 ↑
(2.12)		 3.5 ↓
(3.57)		 2.95 ↓
(3.39)		 4.1%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 29.3% – 66.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paris FC (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Brest: Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Magnetti H. (Red Card) Majecki R. (Red Card) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Ikone J. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Dina Ebimbe J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Traore H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Brest
    29.08.2025 Lens - Brest 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3 ✺
    09.08.2025 Brest - Sassuolo 1:1
    03.08.2025 Napoli - Brest 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    06.08.2025 Paris FC - UNFP 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Angers1664617:18-122
    10Toulouse1555521:19220
    11Brest1554620:24-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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