Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 14
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/546) | 83% (351/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/546) | 83% (351/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 54% (40/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (79/107) | 62% (57/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Chilwell B. (A),
- 44', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Chardonnet B. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
- 57', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
- 57', Paez K. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
- 65', Mboup P. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 69', Chilwell B. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 76', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 76', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Magnetti H. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
- 85', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 90', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lala K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
52.6% | Draw
25.1% | Brest
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Strasbourg - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.85) |
3.8 ↑
(3.74) |
4.29 ↑
(4.01) |
4.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Brest?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Strasbourg (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Strasbourg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Brest (4.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(42 of 51 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.89% – 92.81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Brest (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0.
- Recent performances by Strasbourg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brest's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Barco V.
(Red Card)
Johnsson K.
(Inactive)
Ouattara A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Coulibaly S.
(Loan agreement)
Locko B.
(Thigh Injury)
Majecki R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Magnetti H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Brest?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Strasbourg?
Brest has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Brest were as follows:
23.02.2025
Strasbourg
-
Brest
0:0
30.11.2024
Brest
-
Strasbourg
3:1
24.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Brest
0:3
07.12.2023
Brest
-
Strasbourg
1:1
05.03.2023
Strasbourg
-
Brest
0:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
