Result
2:1
19/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo |
 France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Italy | Sky Sport 255 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1 Champions |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive |
 Usa | Flow Sports 1, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 397 | 336 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 320 | 264 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Wuthrich G. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 21', Horvat T. 🟨,
- 22', Johnston M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Magnetti H. ⚽,
- 37', Sima A. 🟨,
- 40', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Fernandes E. (Own goal), Boving W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Horvat T. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 59', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 60', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
- 62', Faivre R. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 64', Camara M. 🟨,
- 71', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 71', Fernandes E. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 78', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
- 78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 83', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
- 84', Amavi J. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
- 84', Sima A. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
- 85', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 89', Lavalee D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
48.1% | Draw
26.4% | Sturm Graz
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Brest - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.87) |
3.66 ↓
(3.71) |
3.79 ↓
(4.21) |
3.5%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Sturm will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.4% – 73%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sturm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Lees-Melou P.
(Leg Injury)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Sturm Graz?
Brest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Brest?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Sturm Graz were as follows:
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
