Result
2:1
19/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
Argentina | ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3, Moja TV |
Brazil | Max |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo |
France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360 |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
Hungary | RTL+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Italy | Sky Sport 255 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mexico | HBO Max |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 4 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1 Champions |
South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive |
Usa | Flow Sports 1, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.69 | 0.14 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Goal Attempts |
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13 | 5 |
Shots on Goal |
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7 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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29 | 15 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 1 |
Offsides |
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0 | 6 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
Fouls |
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14 | 20 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 6 |
Total Passes |
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397 | 336 |
Completed Passes |
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320 | 264 |
Clearances Completed |
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13 | 26 |
Crosses Completed |
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4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Wuthrich G. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 21', Horvat T. 🟨,
- 22', Johnston M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Magnetti H. ⚽,
- 37', Sima A. 🟨,
- 40', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Fernandes E. (Own goal), Boving W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Horvat T. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 59', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 60', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
- 62', Faivre R. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 64', Camara M. 🟨,
- 71', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 71', Fernandes E. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 78', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
- 78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 83', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
- 84', Amavi J. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
- 84', Sima A. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
- 85', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 89', Lavalee D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest 48.1% | Draw 26.4% | Sturm Graz 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Brest - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↑ (1.87) |
3.66 ↓ (3.71) |
3.79 ↓ (4.21) |
3.5% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Sturm will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.4% – 73%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sturm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Lees-Melou P.
(Leg Injury)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Sturm Graz?
Brest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Brest?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Sturm Graz were as follows:
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
19 | Pafos | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
25 | Brann | Bye | |
26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
29 | Rangers | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
31 | Plzen | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Servette | |
33 | Nice | Bye | |
36 | Bye | Benfica | |
37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
16 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
17 | Nice | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Benfica | |
19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals1 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | |
2 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | |
3 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | |
4 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | |
5 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | |
6 | Shkendija | Qarabag | |
7 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | |
8 | Rangers | Plzen | |
9 | Nice | Benfica | |
10 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | |