Result
2:1
19/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo |
 France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Italy | Sky Sport 255 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1 Champions |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive |
 Usa | Flow Sports 1, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 397 | 336 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 320 | 264 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Wuthrich G. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 21', Horvat T. 🟨,
- 22', Johnston M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Magnetti H. ⚽,
- 37', Sima A. 🟨,
- 40', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Fernandes E. (Own goal), Boving W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Horvat T. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 59', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 60', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
- 62', Faivre R. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 64', Camara M. 🟨,
- 71', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 71', Fernandes E. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 78', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
- 78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 83', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
- 84', Amavi J. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
- 84', Sima A. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
- 85', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 89', Lavalee D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
48.1% | Draw
26.4% | Sturm Graz
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Brest - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.87) |
3.66 ↓
(3.71) |
3.79 ↓
(4.21) |
3.5%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Sturm will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.4% – 73%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sturm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Lees-Melou P.
(Leg Injury)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Sturm Graz?
Brest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Brest?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Sturm Graz were as follows:
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
