Brest vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:1
19/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalySky Sport 255
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1 Champions
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive
usaUsaFlow Sports 1, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.14
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
135
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
21
Free Kicks
2915
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
06
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1420
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
36
Total Passes
397336
Completed Passes
320264
Clearances Completed
1326
Crosses Completed
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Wuthrich G. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
  • 21', Horvat T. 🟨,
  • 22', Johnston M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Magnetti H. ⚽,
  • 37', Sima A. 🟨,
  • 40', Lavalee D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Fernandes E. (Own goal), Boving W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Horvat T. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
  • 59', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 60', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
  • 62', Faivre R. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
  • 64', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 71', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
  • 71', Fernandes E. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
  • 78', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
  • 78', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
  • 83', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
  • 84', Amavi J. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
  • 84', Sima A. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
  • 85', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 89', Lavalee D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brest
48.1%		Draw
26.4%		Sturm Graz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 27% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
    •

    Brest - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.87)    		 3.66 ↓
    (3.71)    		 3.79 ↓
    (4.21)    		 3.5%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Brest - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Sturm will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.4% – 73%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sturm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Brest: Lees-Melou P. (Leg Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Brest
    14.09.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Brest 3:1 ✺
    31.08.2024 Brest - Saint-Étienne 4:0 ✺
    25.08.2024 Lens - Brest 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2024 Brest - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    10.08.2024 Newcastle United - Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    05.09.2024 Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV 4:1 ✺
    31.08.2024 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol 4:2 ✺
    28.08.2024 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3 ✺
    24.08.2024 Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach 2:1 ✺
    17.08.2024 Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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