Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
03/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14
  • Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 5
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Cricket, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.702.76
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (297/357)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.702.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.854.89
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
910
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (297/357)
Long passes
36% (13/36)39% (15/38)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)61% (39/64)
Crosses
16% (3/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.60
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
109
Tackles
57% (13/23)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
4.891.85
Goals prevented
0.89-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, van Hecke J. P. , Wieffer M. (A),
  • 24', Tzimas S. , Hinshelwood J. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Torres P. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Watkins O. , Guessand E. (A),
  • 45+7', 2 - 2, Watkins O. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 45+9', Verbruggen B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 3, Onana A. , Cash M. (A),
  • 67', Kadioglu F. , Welbeck D. ,
  • 70', Kamara B. , Tielemans Y. ,
  • 70', Maatsen I. , Digne L. ,
  • 75', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 77', McGinn J. , Malen D. ,
  • 77', Gruda B. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 78', Baleba C. , Veltman J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 4, Malen D. ,
  • 83', 3 - 4, van Hecke J. P. , Hinshelwood J. (A),
  • 85', Gomez D. 🟨,
  • 86', Watkins O. , Buendia E. ,
  • 86', Guessand E. , Bogarde L. ,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
42%
Draw
28%
Aston Villa
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.3% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.6% 30.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.29
(2.25)
3.42
(3.49)
3.22
(3.12)
4%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 32 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 16 - 24.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 37%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.
    • Brighton & Hove is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aston Villa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.
    • Brighton & Hove might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Muscle Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Rutter G. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knock)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2
    05.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 1:0
    30.09.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 6:1
    28.05.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal15103228:91933
    2Manchester City15101435:161931
    3Aston Villa1593322:15730
    4Crystal Palace1575320:12826
    5Chelsea1574425:151025
    6Everton1573518:17124
    7Brighton1565425:21423
    8Sunderland1565418:17123
    9Liverpool1572624:24023
    10Tottenham1564525:18722
    11Newcastle1564521:19222
    12Manchester Utd1464422:21122
    13Bournemouth1555521:24-320
    14Brentford1561821:24-319
    15Fulham1552820:24-417
    16Leeds1543819:29-1015
    17Nottingham1543814:25-1115
    18West Ham1534817:29-1213
    19Burnley15311116:30-1410
    20Wolves1402127:29-222

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship