Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | FPT Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/419) | 83% (340/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/419) | 83% (340/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (86/121) | 68% (71/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Baleba C. 🟨,
- 22', Baleba C. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
- 23', Veltman J. 🟨,
- 41', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 41', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Rogers M. 🟨,
- 60', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
- 60', Buendia E. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
- 61', van Hecke J. P. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
- 74', Onana A. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 75', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 81', Mitoma K. ↓, Howell H. ↑,
- 81', Gomez D. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
- 81', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
- 84', Douglas Luiz ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Hinshelwood J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Aston Villa 48.1% | Draw 25.5% | Brighton & Hove Albion 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.92) |
3.78 ↓ (3.84) |
3.62 ↓ (3.83) |
4.1% (4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion?
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 57 - 76%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 6 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 66.3% – 85.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH 0 - Aston Villa (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Aston Villa (1.32) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Aston Villa (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
- Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brighton & Hove has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A.
(Thigh Injury)
Kamara B.
(Knee Injury)
McGinn J.
(Knee Injury)
Tielemans Y.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S.
(Knee Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
Wieffer M.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Alysson
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y.
(Shoulder Injury)
van Hecke J. P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Aston Villa has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Aston Villa?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
03.12.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Aston Villa
3:4
02.04.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Aston Villa
0:3
30.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2:2
05.05.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Aston Villa
1:0
30.09.2023
Aston Villa
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
6:1
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | Everton | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32:56 | -24 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolves | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20:51 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship