Result
3:4
03/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 5 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Haiti | Canal+ Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | NOW |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, SuperSport 5 |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Action |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Action |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Cricket, Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 83% (297/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 4.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 83% (297/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (13/36) | 39% (15/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 61% (39/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.89 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, van Hecke J. P. ⚽, Wieffer M. (A),
- 24', Tzimas S. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
- 29', 2 - 0, Torres P. (Own goal),
- 37', 2 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽, Guessand E. (A),
- 45+7', 2 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
- 45+9', Verbruggen B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 3, Onana A. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
- 67', Kadioglu F. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
- 70', Kamara B. ↓, Tielemans Y. ↑,
- 70', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
- 75', McGinn J. 🟨,
- 77', McGinn J. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
- 77', Gruda B. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
- 78', Baleba C. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 4, Malen D. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 4, van Hecke J. P. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
- 85', Gomez D. 🟨,
- 86', Watkins O. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 86', Guessand E. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brighton & Hove Albion 42% | Draw 28% | Aston Villa 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (2.25) |
3.42 ↓ (3.49) |
3.22 ↑ (3.12) |
4% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 32 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 16 - 24.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 37% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Aston Villa (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Brighton & Hove (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +2.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Aston Villa (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.
- Brighton & Hove is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aston Villa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.
- Brighton & Hove might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S.
(Knee Injury)
Milner J.
(Muscle Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Mings T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K.
(Ankle Injury)
Rutter G.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R.
(Knock)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Aston Villa?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Aston Villa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa were as follows:
02.04.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Aston Villa
0:3
30.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2:2
05.05.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Aston Villa
1:0
30.09.2023
Aston Villa
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
6:1
28.05.2023
Aston Villa
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2:1
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
Latest results of Aston Villa
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:14 | 26 | 50 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Manchester Utd | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Brentford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Fulham | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 32:29 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 35:41 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Leeds | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | West Ham | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 19 | Burnley | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Wolves | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship