Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
03/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14
  • Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 5
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Cricket, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.702.76
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (297/357)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.702.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.854.89
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
910
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (297/357)
Long passes
36% (13/36)39% (15/38)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)61% (39/64)
Crosses
16% (3/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.60
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
109
Tackles
57% (13/23)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
4.891.85
Goals prevented
0.89-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, van Hecke J. P. , Wieffer M. (A),
  • 24', Tzimas S. , Hinshelwood J. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Torres P. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Watkins O. , Guessand E. (A),
  • 45+7', 2 - 2, Watkins O. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 45+9', Verbruggen B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 3, Onana A. , Cash M. (A),
  • 67', Kadioglu F. , Welbeck D. ,
  • 70', Kamara B. , Tielemans Y. ,
  • 70', Maatsen I. , Digne L. ,
  • 75', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 77', McGinn J. , Malen D. ,
  • 77', Gruda B. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 78', Baleba C. , Veltman J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 4, Malen D. ,
  • 83', 3 - 4, van Hecke J. P. , Hinshelwood J. (A),
  • 85', Gomez D. 🟨,
  • 86', Watkins O. , Buendia E. ,
  • 86', Guessand E. , Bogarde L. ,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
42%
Draw
28%
Aston Villa
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.3% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.6% 30.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.29
(2.25)
3.42
(3.49)
3.22
(3.12)
4%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 32 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 16 - 24.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 37%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Aston Villa (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Brighton & Hove (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Aston Villa (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.
    • Brighton & Hove is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aston Villa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.
    • Brighton & Hove might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Muscle Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Rutter G. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knock)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2
    05.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 1:0
    30.09.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 6:1
    28.05.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal22155240:142650
    2Manchester City22134545:212443
    3Aston Villa22134533:25843
    4Liverpool22106633:29436
    5Manchester Utd2298538:32635
    6Chelsea2297636:241234
    7Brentford22103935:30533
    8Newcastle2296732:27533
    9Sunderland2289523:23033
    10Everton2295824:25-132
    11Fulham2294930:31-131
    12Brighton2279632:29330
    13Crystal Palace2277823:25-228
    14Tottenham2276931:29227
    15Bournemouth2269735:41-627
    16Leeds2267930:37-725
    17Nottingham22641221:34-1322
    18West Ham22451324:44-2017
    19Burnley22351423:42-1914
    20Wolves22151615:41-268

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship