Result
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
37.8% | Draw
26.2% | Brighton & Hove Albion
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.41) |
3.65 ↓
(3.87) |
2.68 ↓
(2.71) |
3.8%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0.
- Newcastle has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Brighton & Hove is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Brighton & Hove will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Newcastle United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Newcastle United?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
18.10.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Newcastle United
2:1
04.05.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Newcastle United
1:1
02.03.2025
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
1:2
19.10.2024
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
0:1
11.05.2024
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
1:1
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 64:26 | 38 | 73 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48:39 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:46 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:46 | -2 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Leeds | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44:51 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:58 | -16 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34:68 | -34 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 24:62 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
