Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos
Result
22:2
07/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
40
Conversion Goals
30
Conversion Goal Attempts
40
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
75100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
203181
Metres Run With Ball
18501545

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 2)
  • 17', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Wishart T. (Try),
  • 30', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Papenhuyzen R. (Try),
  • 40', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 0)
  • 62', Coates X. (Try),
  • 64', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 76', Coates X. (Try),
  • 77', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
59.2%
Draw
4.3%
Brisbane Broncos
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 3.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 3.9% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Storm's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.44)
    21.53
    (25.67)
    2.58
    (2.94)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Recently, Melbourne has had a series of away games.
    • Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 600:298. (average 30:14.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 244:140. (average 27.1:15.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
    05.09.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 12:50
    04.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 34:32
    08.09.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 26:0
    31.08.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 22:32
    11.05.2023 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 24:16
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters211110567:47528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels21714380:53620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )