Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm
Result
30:14
04/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9HD, Fox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
31
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
40
Penalty Goal Attempts
40
Goals %
8833
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
154174
Metres Run With Ball
13791489

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 4)
  • 9', Walsh R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 15', Walsh R. (Try),
  • 16', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 25', Katoa E. (Try),
  • 27', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 39', Piakura B. (Try),
  • 40', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 10)
  • 42', Walsh R. (Try),
  • 44', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Warbrick W. (Try),
  • 62', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 65', Walsh R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 69', Walsh R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 72', Meaney N. (Try),
  • 73', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Walsh R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Karapani J. (Try),
  • 80', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
39.1%
Draw
4.4%
Melbourne Storm
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 4.4% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 4.4% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Broncos's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.83)
    20.33
    (21)
    1.67
    (2)
    7.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 274:606. (average 13.7:30.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 158:356. (average 14.4:32.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 22:2
    05.09.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 12:50
    04.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 34:32
    08.09.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 26:0
    31.08.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 22:32
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2