Result
26:22
17/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 7
- Referee: Gough P. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 63 | 75 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 173 | 163 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1748 | 1634 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 16)
- 5', Sasagi S. (Try),
- 7', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Horsburgh C. (Try),
- 10', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 13', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 16', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 17', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 26', Meaney N. (Try),
- 28', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 6)
- 45', Strange E. (Try),
- 46', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
- 51', Timoko M. (Try),
- 53', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Sanders E. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Sanders E. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Meaney N. (Try),
- 75', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Canberra Raiders
43% | Draw
4.6% | Melbourne Storm
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra Raiders's performance.Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.46) |
19.53 ↓
(22) |
1.77 ↑
(1.59) |
8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 304:438. (average 15.2:21.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 118:140. (average 16.9:20).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra Raiders won against Melbourne Storm?
Canberra Raiders has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Canberra Raiders?
Melbourne Storm has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
13.02.2026
Canberra Raiders
-
Melbourne Storm
32:6
04.05.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
Canberra Raiders
18:20
29.06.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Canberra Raiders
16:6
13.08.2023
Melbourne Storm
-
Canberra Raiders
48:2
10.09.2022
Melbourne Storm
-
Canberra Raiders
20:28
Latest results of Canberra Raiders
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
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