Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 7
  • Referee: Gough P. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
43.4%
Draw
4.7%
Melbourne Storm
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 4.2% 58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 4.2% 58.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra Raiders's performance.
  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.46)
    18.78
    (22)
    1.78
    (1.59)
    8.9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 304:438. (average 15.2:21.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 118:140. (average 16.9:20).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm 32:6
    04.05.2025 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 18:20
    29.06.2024 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 16:6
    13.08.2023 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 48:2
    10.09.2022 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 20:28
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

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