Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
66:103
10/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
915
Behinds
1213
Kicks
190241
Handballs
154142
Disposals
344383
Frees For
2025
Frees Against
2520
Clearances Completed
3729
Marks
69130
Tackles
5969
Hitouts
4540

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (21 - 34)
  • 01:38, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 02:00, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 05:37, Berry J. (G),
  • 07:22, Cameron C. (G),
  • 09:12, Hipwood E. (G),
  • 10:36, Fantasia O. (G),
  • 14:02, Hipwood E. (Behind),
  • 19:53, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 22:50, Williams Z. (G),
  • 24:18, Rayner C. (G),
  • 26:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 26:21, Cripps P. (Behind),
  • 27:57, Moir A. (Behind),
  • 29:23, Morris L. (G),
  • 32:42, Pittonet M. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 38)
  • 01:04, Cameron C. (G),
  • 10:15, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 13:19, Pittonet M. (G),
  • 14:57, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 17:16, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 19:54, Cripps P. (G),
  • 21:14, Durdin C. (G),
  • 22:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 24:43, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 26:45, Cripps P. (Behind),
  • 28:01, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 29:06, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 29:59, Ashcroft L. (G),
  • 31:38, Cameron C. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (4 - 26)
  • 01:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:10, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 10:25, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 13:55, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 15:07, Moir A. (Behind),
  • 16:10, Fort D. (G),
  • 19:18, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 20:22, Moir A. (Behind),
  • 23:31, Fogarty L. (Behind),
  • 25:38, Rayner C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (20 - 5)
  • 00:51, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 03:05, De Koning T. (G),
  • 06:27, Hewett G. (G),
  • 06:27, Hewett G. (G),
  • 10:22, Hipwood E. (Behind),
  • 12:49, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 13:49, (Behind Rushed),
  • 18:49, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 20:42, O'Farrell H. (Behind),
  • 21:49, Williams Z. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
22.3%
Brisbane Lions
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (3.04)

    1.23
    (1.39)
    6.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brisbane is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1399:1734. (average 70:86.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 549:634. (average 68.6:79.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 99:71
    08.03.2024 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 85:86
    23.09.2023 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 79:63
    05.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions 74:100
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )