Result
66:103
10/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 190 | 241 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 154 | 142 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 344 | 383 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 69 | 130 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59 | 69 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (21 - 34)
- 01:38, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 02:00, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 05:37, Berry J. (G),
- 07:22, Cameron C. (G),
- 09:12, Hipwood E. (G),
- 10:36, Fantasia O. (G),
- 14:02, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 19:53, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 22:50, Williams Z. (G),
- 24:18, Rayner C. (G),
- 26:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 26:21, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 27:57, Moir A. (Behind),
- 29:23, Morris L. (G),
- 32:42, Pittonet M. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 38)
- 01:04, Cameron C. (G),
- 10:15, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 13:19, Pittonet M. (G),
- 14:57, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 17:16, McCluggage H. (G),
- 19:54, Cripps P. (G),
- 21:14, Durdin C. (G),
- 22:59, Morris L. (G),
- 24:43, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 26:45, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 28:01, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 29:06, Motlop J. (Behind),
- 29:59, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 31:38, Cameron C. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (4 - 26)
- 01:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:10, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 10:25, Lohmann K. (G),
- 13:55, Bailey Z. (G),
- 15:07, Moir A. (Behind),
- 16:10, Fort D. (G),
- 19:18, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 20:22, Moir A. (Behind),
- 23:31, Fogarty L. (Behind),
- 25:38, Rayner C. (G),
- 4th Quarter (20 - 5)
- 00:51, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 03:05, De Koning T. (G),
- 06:27, Hewett G. (G),
- 06:27, Hewett G. (G),
- 10:22, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 12:49, Morris L. (Behind),
- 13:49, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:49, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 20:42, O'Farrell H. (Behind),
- 21:49, Williams Z. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Carlton Blues
22.3% | Brisbane Lions
77.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.04) |
|
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
6.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 168.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brisbane is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1399:1734. (average 70:86.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 549:634. (average 68.6:79.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Brisbane Lions?
Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Carlton Blues?
Brisbane Lions has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
07.09.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Carlton Blues
99:71
08.03.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Carlton Blues
85:86
23.09.2023
Brisbane Lions
-
Carlton Blues
79:63
05.05.2023
Carlton Blues
-
Brisbane Lions
74:100
Latest results of Carlton Blues
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide Crows | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 2019:1401 | 144.11 | 60 |
| 2 | Collingwood Magpies | 19 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1742:1290 | 135.04 | 60 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 1689:1524 | 110.83 | 54 |
| 4 | Geelong Cats | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1949:1452 | 134.23 | 52 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1764:1500 | 117.60 | 52 |
| 6 | Fremantle Dockers | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1636:1464 | 111.75 | 52 |
| 7 | GWS Giants | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1766:1586 | 111.35 | 52 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 2165:1577 | 137.29 | 48 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1677:1403 | 119.53 | 48 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 1499:1596 | 93.92 | 36 |
| 11 | Port Adelaide Power | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 1419:1706 | 83.18 | 32 |
| 12 | Carlton Blues | 19 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 1450:1554 | 93.31 | 28 |
| 13 | Melbourne Demons | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1532:1703 | 89.96 | 24 |
| 14 | St Kilda Saints | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1535:1777 | 86.38 | 24 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1227:1712 | 71.67 | 24 |
| 16 | Richmond Tigers | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 1223:1796 | 68.10 | 20 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 1422:1954 | 72.77 | 18 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 19 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1249:1968 | 63.47 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
