Result
71:100
20/09/2025 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 186 | 247 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 126 | 134 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 312 | 381 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 77 | 113 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65 | 71 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (7 - 27)
- 04:16, De Goey J. (Behind),
- 07:06, Cox M. (G),
- 09:17, Morris L. (Behind),
- 10:01, Dunkley J. (G),
- 11:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:21, Bailey Z. (G),
- 19:54, Morris L. (G),
- 22:18, Gallop T. (G),
- 28:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (36 - 3)
- 02:30, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 03:16, Elliott J. (G),
- 04:27, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 11:29, Membrey T. (G),
- 16:15, Schultz L. (G),
- 21:31, Lipinski P. (G),
- 26:43, Membrey T. (G),
- 28:21, Houston D. (G),
- 30:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 3rd Quarter (15 - 45)
- 00:50, Bailey Z. (G),
- 02:10, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 05:39, Gallop T. (G),
- 07:14, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 09:56, De Goey J. (Behind),
- 11:52, Rayner C. (G),
- 14:04, Elliott J. (G),
- 15:49, McCluggage H. (G),
- 18:20, Elliott J. (G),
- 20:34, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
- 22:24, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 24:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 25:43, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 30:43, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 34:13, Rayner C. (G),
- 4th Quarter (13 - 25)
- 07:18, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 12:38, Cox M. (G),
- 17:42, Cameron C. (G),
- 20:56, Gallop T. (G),
- 22:53, Lohmann K. (G),
- 26:59, Zorko D. (G),
- 30:25, Elliott J. (G),
- 31:32, McCreery B. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Collingwood Magpies
57.3% | Brisbane Lions
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
|
2.15 ↓
(2.18) |
9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:77.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1783:1709. (average 89.2:85.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 748:821. (average 83.1:91.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Brisbane Lions?
Collingwood Magpies has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Collingwood Magpies?
Brisbane Lions has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
02.08.2025
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
65:92
17.04.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Collingwood Magpies
53:105
17.08.2024
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
79:78
28.03.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Collingwood Magpies
72:92
30.09.2023
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
90:86
Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 71 : 100 |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final| 1 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Geelong Cats (2) | 122 : 75 |
