Result
20/09/2025 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
Chances of winning
Collingwood Magpies
56.3% | Brisbane Lions
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
|
2.14 ↓
(2.18) |
6.4%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 160.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:77.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1783:1709. (average 89.2:85.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 748:821. (average 83.1:91.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Brisbane Lions?
Collingwood Magpies has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Collingwood Magpies?
Brisbane Lions has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
02.08.2025
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
65:92
17.04.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Collingwood Magpies
53:105
17.08.2024
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
79:78
28.03.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Collingwood Magpies
72:92
30.09.2023
Collingwood Magpies
-
Brisbane Lions
90:86
Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
