Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns
Result
66:49
04/05/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 8
Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
97
Behinds
127
Kicks
249177
Handballs
124152
Disposals
373329
Frees For
2321
Frees Against
2123
Clearances Completed
4728
Marks
10871
Tackles
6752
Hitouts
3951

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (10 - 7)
  • 02:41, Swallow D. (G),
  • 04:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:17, Hipwood E. (Behind),
  • 09:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:50, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 24:28, Witts J. (Behind),
  • 27:21, Berry J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 14)
  • 02:21, Cameron C. (G),
  • 04:10, Cameron C. (G),
  • 05:19, Gardiner D. (Behind),
  • 06:47, McKenna C. (G),
  • 10:44, Andrew M. (G),
  • 12:50, Andrew M. (Behind),
  • 15:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 16:56, Walter J. (G),
  • 18:27, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
  • 25:49, Graham W. (Behind),
  • 30:21, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (31 - 8)
  • 03:37, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 06:16, Cameron C. (G),
  • 08:48, King B. (G),
  • 16:10, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 18:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:26, Humphrey B. (Behind),
  • 21:31, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 22:54, Gardiner D. (G),
  • 27:07, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (3 - 20)
  • 03:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:04, Rogers J. (Behind),
  • 11:35, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 14:21, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 20:36, Read E. (G),
  • 23:01, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 26:16, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:40, Miller T. (G),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
62.1%
Gold Coast Suns
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.51)

    2.42
    (2.61)
    7.7%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Brisbane is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1988:1500. (average 99.4:75).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 968:623. (average 107.6:69.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93
    05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45
    29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55
    20.05.2023 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 107:64
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    5Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    6Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    7Western Bulldogs159061582:1203131.5036
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1541101152:146778.5318
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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