Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Gabba (Brisbane).

AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
Germany	Sportdigital1+

Match Stats


Goals
14	6
Behinds
16	11
Kicks
235	183
Handballs
139	130
Disposals
374	313
Frees For
13	19
Frees Against
19	13
Clearances Completed
43	26
Marks
115	85
Tackles
63	56
Hitouts
39	48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (23 - 22)
00:23, (Behind Rushed),
02:49, King B. (G),
04:07, Anderson N. (G),
06:59, Morris L. (G),
10:26, King B. (Behind),
11:43, Ah Chee C. (G),
13:29, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
14:12, (Behind Rushed),
15:21, King B. (G),
17:35, Berry J. (G),
21:49, Gallop T. (Behind),
22:50, (Behind Rushed),
25:06, Long B. (Behind),
26:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
28:59, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (37 - 13)
02:25, Morris L. (G),
04:42, Rowell M. (G),
08:38, Ashcroft W. (G),
11:04, Rayner C. (G),
14:14, Flanders S. (G),
20:41, McInerney O. (Behind),
21:28, Ashcroft W. (G),
24:22, Lohmann K. (G),
29:59, Noble J. (Behind),
31:26, Bailey Z. (G),
3rd Quarter (22 - 4)
00:54, Farrar J. (Behind),
01:59, Lohmann K. (G),
06:33, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
10:00, Humphrey B. (Behind),
10:57, Bailey Z. (G),
14:11, (Behind Rushed),
16:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
20:07, Miller T. (Behind),
21:10, Berry J. (Behind),
22:14, Gallop T. (G),
24:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (18 - 8)
01:24, Cameron C. (Behind),
02:20, Rayner C. (Behind),
05:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
08:15, McInerney O. (Behind),
14:18, Ainsworth B. (G),
16:08, Cameron C. (Behind),
17:15, Bailey Z. (G),
22:45, Lohmann K. (Behind),
24:35, Lohmann K. (G),
27:25, Weller L. (Behind),
29:32, Humphrey B. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Brisbane Lions
60.1%

Gold Coast Suns
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)		2.35 ↓ (2.58)	7.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:79.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1898:1446. (average 94.9:72.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 927:578. (average 103:64.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Gold Coast Suns?

Brisbane Lions has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Brisbane Lions?

Gold Coast Suns has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:

25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49

27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93

05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45

29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55

Latest results of Brisbane Lions

05.09.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 112:74 ✺

24.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks 89:79 ✺

15.08.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Brisbane Lions 44:101 ✺

09.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 90:92 ✺

02.08.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions 65:92 ✺

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

06.09.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Gold Coast Suns 79:80 ✺

27.08.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers 153:58 ✺

22.08.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns 71:67 ✺

15.08.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants 76:111 ✺

09.08.2025 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 74:93 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Adelaide Crows (1)	Collingwood Magpies (4)	55 : 79
3	Brisbane Lions	Bye
4	Fremantle Dockers (6)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	79 : 80
5	Geelong Cats (2)	Brisbane Lions (3)	112 : 74
7	Adelaide Crows	Bye
8	GWS Giants (5)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	88 : 107

Quarter-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Bye
2	Brisbane Lions (3)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	100 : 47
3	Geelong Cats (2)	Bye
4	Adelaide Crows (1)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	67 : 101

Semi-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Brisbane Lions (3)
2	Geelong Cats (2)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	115 : 85

Final

1

TBD #1

Geelong Cats (2)