Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

People First Stadium (Gold Coast).

AFL - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1

Match Stats


Goals
20	9
Behinds
10	10
Kicks
210	203
Handballs
222	156
Disposals
432	359
Frees For
18	19
Frees Against
19	18
Clearances Completed
52	40
Marks
75	63
Tackles
76	73
Hitouts
53	50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (31 - 15)
00:57, Morris L. (Behind),
04:42, Ah Chee C. (G),
07:06, Cameron C. (Behind),
11:06, Fiorini B. (G),
14:13, Budarick C. (Behind),
19:12, Neale L. (G),
21:29, Budarick C. (G),
22:41, Holman N. (G),
24:10, Rayner C. (Behind),
26:35, Farrar J. (G),
31:24, King B. (G),
2nd Quarter (32 - 15)
01:09, Long B. (G),
05:33, McCluggage H. (G),
10+33', Humphrey B. (G),
12:39, Hipwood E. (G),
16:55, Powell W. (Behind),
22:02, Bailey Z. (Behind),
24:11, Farrar J. (G),
25:26, Anderson N. (G),
26:52, Humphrey B. (Behind),
29:10, Long B. (G),
31:03, (Behind Rushed),
32:07, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (33 - 8)
01:02, Farrar J. (G),
03:02, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
03:22, Ainsworth B. (G),
05:18, Long B. (G),
10:17, Cameron C. (Behind),
12:27, Long B. (G),
14:24, Bailey Z. (G),
15:37, Humphrey B. (G),
18:50, Read E. (Behind),
27:22, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
30:50, Long B. (Behind),
4th Quarter (34 - 26)
03:38, Neale L. (Behind),
07:49, Ainsworth B. (G),
10:53, Humphrey B. (G),
12:52, Rayner C. (G),
14:59, (Behind Rushed),
16:06, Read E. (Behind),
16:50, Marshall S. (G),
19:40, Bailey Z. (Behind),
22:10, Rayner C. (G),
24:04, Read E. (G),
25:20, Ainsworth B. (G),
27:10, King B. (G),
29:30, Jeffrey J. (Behind),
31:04, Rayner C. (G),
33:23, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Gold Coast Suns
40.4%

Brisbane Lions
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gold Coast Suns's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.05)		1.59 ↓ (1.78)	7.1% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions?

Users Predictions: Gold Coast Suns will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 72:81.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1.
Recent performances by Gold Coast have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Brisbane is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1455:1947. (average 72.8:97.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 877:1020. (average 79.7:92.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Brisbane Lions?

Gold Coast Suns has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Gold Coast Suns?

Brisbane Lions has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions were as follows:

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49

27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93

05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45

29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55

20.05.2023 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 107:64

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

20.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Gold Coast Suns 107:46 ✺

11.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies 69:63 ✺

04.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 74:115 ✺

21.06.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns 106:99 ✺

07.06.2025 Geelong Cats - Gold Coast Suns 61:37 ✺

Latest results of Brisbane Lions

18.07.2025 Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs 86:76 ✺

10.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions 66:103 ✺

05.07.2025 Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power 120:92 ✺

20.06.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 51:92 ✺

13.06.2025 Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants 96:107 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
4	Brisbane Lions	22	15	1	6	1972:1725	114.32	62
5	Hawthorn Hawks	22	15	0	7	1966:1602	122.72	60
6	GWS Giants	22	15	0	7	2010:1741	115.45	60
7	Fremantle Dockers	22	15	0	7	1866:1718	108.61	60
8	Western Bulldogs	22	14	0	8	2396:1708	140.28	56
9	Gold Coast Suns	22	14	0	8	2020:1682	120.10	56
10	Sydney Swans	22	11	0	11	1727:1851	93.30	44
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	22	9	0	13	1746:1973	88.49	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	22	6	0	16	1477:2056	71.84	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	22	1	0	21	1415:2320	60.99	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )