Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:47
13/09/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital1+

Match Stats

Goals
146
Behinds
1611
Kicks
235183
Handballs
139130
Disposals
374313
Frees For
1319
Frees Against
1913
Clearances Completed
4326
Marks
11585
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
3948

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (23 - 22)
  • 00:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:49, King B. (G),
  • 04:07, Anderson N. (G),
  • 06:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 10:26, King B. (Behind),
  • 11:43, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 13:29, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 14:12, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:21, King B. (G),
  • 17:35, Berry J. (G),
  • 21:49, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 22:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:06, Long B. (Behind),
  • 26:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 28:59, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (37 - 13)
  • 02:25, Morris L. (G),
  • 04:42, Rowell M. (G),
  • 08:38, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 11:04, Rayner C. (G),
  • 14:14, Flanders S. (G),
  • 20:41, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 21:28, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 24:22, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 29:59, Noble J. (Behind),
  • 31:26, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 4)
  • 00:54, Farrar J. (Behind),
  • 01:59, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 06:33, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 10:00, Humphrey B. (Behind),
  • 10:57, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 14:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 20:07, Miller T. (Behind),
  • 21:10, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 22:14, Gallop T. (G),
  • 24:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (18 - 8)
  • 01:24, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 02:20, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 05:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 08:15, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 14:18, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 16:08, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 17:15, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 22:45, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 24:35, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 27:25, Weller L. (Behind),
  • 29:32, Humphrey B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
60.1%
Gold Coast Suns
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.47)

    2.35
    (2.58)
    7.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1898:1446. (average 94.9:72.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 927:578. (average 103:64.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64
    04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49
    27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93
    05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45
    29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

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