Brisbane Roar vs Canberra United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
23/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.59
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
83
Passes
73% (265/365)63% (198/313)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.28
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
69
Passes
73% (265/365)63% (198/313)
Long passes
42% (19/45)27% (17/64)
Passes in final third
69% (100/144)41% (34/82)
Crosses
27% (6/22)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.39
Throw ins
3531
Fouls
96
Tackles
79% (15/19)96% (27/28)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
3337
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.281.73
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Christopherson S. ,
  • 20', Studer J. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Brown D. , Miller A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Wardlow J. , McKenzie A. ,
  • 57', Meyers K. , Freier S. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Freier S. , Lincoln C. (A),
  • 70', Malone D. , Stanic-Floody M. ,
  • 70', Brown D. , Stephenson K. ,
  • 73', Aulicino J. 🟨,
  • 74', Christopherson S. , Dale S. ,
  • 83', Robers E. , Hawkins E. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Jansen B. ,
  • 90+4', Jansen B. , Piazza A. ,

Chances of winning


Brisbane Roar
35.6%
Draw
26%
Canberra United
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 25.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 24.3% 44.4%

Brisbane Roar - Canberra United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.92)
3.52
(3.69)
2.38
(2.19)
9.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Canberra United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:38. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Canberra United were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 1:2
    02.11.2024 Canberra United - Brisbane Roar 3:2
    30.03.2024 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 1:2
    10.12.2023 Canberra United - Brisbane Roar 5:1
    25.11.2022 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 1:1
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W1482426:161026
    2Wellington Phoenix W1373327:101724
    3Canberra W1473422:16624
    4Adelaide W1472517:17023
    5Brisbane Roar W1464426:25122
    6Melbourne Victory W1562723:21220
    7Central Coast Mariners W1454522:21119
    8Perth W1452713:20-717
    9Newcastle W1451818:24-616
    10WS Wanderers W1543815:27-1215
    11Sydney W1526710:22-1212

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)