Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (262/383) | 51% (133/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (262/383) | 51% (133/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (44/84) | 25% (20/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (95/150) | 41% (40/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (14/14) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | 1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Jansen B. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
- 19', Hawkins E. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Medwin A. ⚽, Stephenson K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stephenson K. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
- 46', Robers E. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
- 58', Meyers K. ↓, Yallop T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Heyman M. ⚽, Gordon B. (A),
- 68', 1 - 2, Woods A. ⚽,
- 68', Aulicino J. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 72', Sasaki N. 🟨,
- 77', Sasaki N. ↓, Bobbin K. ↑,
- 84', Heyman M. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
- 84', Christopherson S. ↓, Skelly L. ↑,
- 90', Lincoln C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Stanic-Floody M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Canberra United
59.5% | Draw
21.2% | Brisbane Roar
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Canberra United - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.59) |
4.33 ↑
(4.11) |
4.77 ↑
(4.44) |
8.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brisbane Roar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Canberra United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Brisbane Roar?
Canberra United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Canberra United?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
23.01.2026
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
3:1
04.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
1:2
02.11.2024
Canberra United
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
30.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
1:2
10.12.2023
Canberra United
-
Brisbane Roar
5:1
Latest results of Canberra United
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | 1 : 2 |
