Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.750.34
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
75
Passes
77% (332/430)73% (245/336)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.750.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.05
Total shots
216
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
153
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
246
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
73
Passes
77% (332/430)73% (245/336)
Long passes
34% (17/50)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
49% (44/89)53% (25/47)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.14
Throw ins
3231
Fouls
37
Tackles
71% (15/21)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2032
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.052.57
Goals prevented
1.05-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Elliott M. , Nunn B. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Pijnenburg E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leon L. , Fraser M. ,
  • 56', Medwin A. 🟨,
  • 61', Medwin A. , Meyers K. ,
  • 71', Cuthbert R. , Piazza A. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Woods M. , Walker E. (A),
  • 73', Woods M. , Main E. ,
  • 81', Pijnenburg E. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 81', Anthony M. , Benson Z. ,
  • 81', Nunn B. , Jaber T. ,
  • 82', Stephenson K. , Yallop T. ,
  • 82', Seidl M. , Kinsella A. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
62.8%
Draw
20.3%
Brisbane Roar
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.3% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 21% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.58)
    4.5
    (4.09)
    5.44
    (4.57)
    9.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
    • Wellington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brisbane Roar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Wellington is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 2:2
    02.02.2025 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    07.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 2:1
    07.01.2024 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    03.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 2:1
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W ✔ 19114434:191537
    2Wellington Phoenix W1794435:142131
    3Canberra W1893629:22730
    4Adelaide W1893623:21230
    5Melbourne Victory W1874725:22325
    6Brisbane Roar W1874730:36-625
    7Perth W1873818:24-624
    8Central Coast Mariners W1765625:25023
    9Newcastle W18621026:33-720
    10WS Wanderers W19441117:34-1716
    11Sydney W1836916:28-1215

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Melbourne City W is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)