Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.750.34
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
75
Passes
77% (332/430)73% (245/336)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.750.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.05
Total shots
216
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
153
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
246
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
73
Passes
77% (332/430)73% (245/336)
Long passes
34% (17/50)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
49% (44/89)53% (25/47)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.14
Throw ins
3231
Fouls
37
Tackles
71% (15/21)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2032
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.052.57
Goals prevented
1.05-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Elliott M. , Nunn B. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Pijnenburg E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leon L. , Fraser M. ,
  • 56', Medwin A. 🟨,
  • 61', Medwin A. , Meyers K. ,
  • 71', Cuthbert R. , Piazza A. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Woods M. , Walker E. (A),
  • 73', Woods M. , Main E. ,
  • 81', Pijnenburg E. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 81', Anthony M. , Benson Z. ,
  • 81', Nunn B. , Jaber T. ,
  • 82', Stephenson K. , Yallop T. ,
  • 82', Seidl M. , Kinsella A. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
62.8%
Draw
20.3%
Brisbane Roar
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.3% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 21% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.58)
    4.5
    (4.09)
    5.44
    (4.57)
    9.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
    • Wellington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brisbane Roar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Wellington is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 2:2
    02.02.2025 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    07.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 2:1
    07.01.2024 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    03.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 2:1
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)