Result
0:2
03/04/2026 at 01:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (314/430) | 71% (234/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (314/430) | 71% (234/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 15% (6/41) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (54/100) | 54% (49/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (20/22) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', Holmes D. ↓, Morgan S. ↑,
- 30', 0 - 1, Van der Meer M. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Nunn B. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
- 59', Vlok P. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
- 59', Leon L. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
- 71', Hodgson I. ↓, Bowler K. ↑,
- 77', Van der Meer M. ↓, Jaber T. ↑,
- 83', Gooch L. ↓, Condon E. ↑,
- 83', Taranto M. ↓, Nicholas M. ↑,
- 90+1', Elliott M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
25.8% | Draw
24.6% | Wellington Phoenix
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wellington Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(2.95) |
3.74 ↑
(3.45) |
1.86 ↓
(2.12) |
8.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wellington might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
24.01.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
3:1
01.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:3
12.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
22.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:1
20.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
4:0
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | |
