Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 13
  • Referee: Lee L. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDiscovery+(Ger)
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.151.30
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
37
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
57
Passes
72% (240/335)79% (345/434)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.151.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.32
Total shots
713
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
29
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
149
Passes
72% (240/335)79% (345/434)
Long passes
33% (18/54)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
55% (48/88)61% (65/106)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.881.07
Throw ins
3528
Fouls
914
Tackles
63% (12/19)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
2433
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
2.321.12
Goals prevented
1.320.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Chessari A. , Harada E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Yuan C. , Caspers H. ,
  • 62', Miller A. , Stephenson K. ,
  • 72', Medwin A. , Meyers K. ,
  • 75', Berryhill C. 🟨,
  • 75', Seidl M. 🟨,
  • 78', Bennett A. , Buchanan E. ,
  • 79', Price O. , Kim Soe-Un ,
  • 80', Seidl M. , Studer J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Buchanan E. , Ying Wang (A),
  • 85', Younis T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Jansen B. ,

Chances of winning


Western Sydney Wanderers
23.1%
Draw
23.3%
Brisbane Roar
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 24.6% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 23.9% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Sydney Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (3.05)
    3.91
    (3.64)
    1.7
    (1.95)
    9.6%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. WS Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Brisbane Roar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Brisbane Roar (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 2.
    • WS Wanderers has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Brisbane Roar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Brisbane Roar has had a series of away games.
    • Brisbane Roar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, WS Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:1
    13.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers 4:4
    09.02.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 2:1
    22.11.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 0:4
    27.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 1:3
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W1693429:171230
    2Canberra W1683525:17827
    3Adelaide W1582519:17226
    4Wellington Phoenix W1574429:131625
    5Perth W1672717:22-523
    6Melbourne Victory W1764724:22222
    7Central Coast Mariners W1664625:25022
    8Brisbane Roar W1664626:31-522
    9Newcastle W1652921:28-717
    10WS Wanderers W1744916:31-1516
    11Sydney W1636714:22-815

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)