Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/291) | 85% (444/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/291) | 85% (444/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (17/60) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 73% (99/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Atkinson R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
- 45+1', McCrorie R. 🟨,
- 45+5', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Clarke J. (Pen),
- 54', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
- 56', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
- 65', Davis L. 🟨,
- 65', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 72', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
- 73', Clarke J. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
- 73', Nunez M. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
- 76', Atkinson R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 78', Akpom Ch. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
- 84', McAteer K. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,
- 90+3', Vyner Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
32.9% | Draw
27.6% | Ipswich Town
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Bristol City - Ipswich Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(3.15) |
3.48 ↓
(3.55) |
2.4 ↑
(2.18) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Ipswich Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ipswich (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ipswich (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Ankle Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W.
(Knee Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol City: Knight J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Ipswich Town?
Bristol City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Bristol City?
Ipswich Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Ipswich Town were as follows:
05.03.2024
Ipswich Town
-
Bristol City
3:2
25.10.2023
Bristol City
-
Ipswich Town
0:1
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Ipswich Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
