Luton Town vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

Championship - Round 44
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.64
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
70% (181/258)	84% (399/473)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.47	1.41
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
23	16
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
70% (181/258)	84% (399/473)
Long passes
39% (26/67)	48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
65% (74/114)	72% (124/173)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.77
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
61% (11/18)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
55	50
Clearances Total
24	41
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.41	2.47
Goals prevented
0.41	-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Pring C. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
22', McCrorie R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Aasgaard T. ⚽, Makosso C. (A),
52', 1 - 1, Tanner G. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Mengi T. (A),
60', Bird M. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
60', Wells N. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
67', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Jones I. ⚽,
76', McCrorie R. ↓, Morrison E. ↑,
76', Mehmeti A. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
82', Earthy G. 🟨,
82', Dabo L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
83', Knight J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
38.3%

Draw
29.5%

Bristol City
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Luton Town - Bristol City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.74)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.95 ↑ (2.58)	5.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bristol City?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 55.3% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bristol City (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
Recent matches Luton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bristol City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) Cornick H. (Hamstring Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol City: Campbell-Slowey J. (Calf Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Luton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bristol City?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Luton Town?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bristol City were as follows:

26.12.2024 Bristol City - Luton Town 1:0

15.03.2023 Luton Town - Bristol City 1:0

Latest results of Luton Town

18.04.2025 Derby County - Luton Town 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers 0:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol City

18.04.2025 Bristol City - Sunderland 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City 1:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Bristol City - Watford 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One