Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (181/258) | 84% (399/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (181/258) | 84% (399/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/114) | 72% (124/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pring C. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 22', McCrorie R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 0, Aasgaard T. ⚽, Makosso C. (A),
- 52', 1 - 1, Tanner G. ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Mengi T. (A),
- 60', Bird M. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 60', Wells N. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
- 67', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Jones I. ⚽,
- 76', McCrorie R. ↓, Morrison E. ↑,
- 76', Mehmeti A. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
- 82', Earthy G. 🟨,
- 82', Dabo L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
- 83', Knight J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
38.3% | Draw
29.5% | Bristol City
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Luton Town - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.74) |
3.21 ↓
(3.28) |
2.95 ↑
(2.58) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 55.3% – 85.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Luton (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Bristol City (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Bristol City (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bristol City (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Bristol City (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
- Recent matches Luton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bristol City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Doughty A.
(Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cornick H.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Sykes M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol City: Campbell-Slowey J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Luton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bristol City?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Luton Town?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bristol City were as follows:
26.12.2024
Bristol City
-
Luton Town
1:0
15.03.2023
Luton Town
-
Bristol City
1:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
