Stoke City vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 41
Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	1.03
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
68% (191/279)	74% (225/304)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.39	0.46
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
14	30
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
68% (191/279)	74% (225/304)
Long passes
25% (14/55)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
49% (41/84)	71% (99/140)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.75
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
47% (9/19)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
56	56
Clearances Total
49	36
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.46	0.39
Goals prevented
-0.65	-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', McGuinness M. 🟨,
17', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
42', Morris C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
50', Bae J. 🟨,
62', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
62', Manhoef M. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
70', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
70', Morris C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
71', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Baker L. ⚽,
82', Chong T. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
86', Gallagher S. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),

Chances of winning

Stoke City
38.9%

Draw
30.2%

Luton Town
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Stoke City - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.18)	3.12 ↓ (3.48)	3.08 ↓ (3.21)	5.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Luton will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Stoke (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stoke City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Stevens E. (Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Burger W. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Adebayo E. (Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Luton Town?

Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stoke City?

Luton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Luton Town were as follows:

10.12.2024 Luton Town - Stoke City 2:1

04.02.2023 Luton Town - Stoke City 1:0

08.11.2022 Stoke City - Luton Town 2:0

Latest results of Stoke City

05.04.2025 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Coventry City - Stoke City 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One