Result
2:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 24
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (230/334) | 80% (369/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (230/334) | 80% (369/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (28/82) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (51/106) | 72% (101/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
- 23', Doughty A. 🟨,
- 38', Sturge Z. 🟨,
- 41', Crama T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mitchell B. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, McCrorie R. (A),
- 55', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 55', Emakhu A. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
- 66', Armstrong S. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
- 66', Atkinson R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
- 73', Doughty A. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
- 73', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Langstaff M. ⚽,
- 83', Ballo T. 🟨,
- 87', Neto Borges 🟨,
- 88', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
39.2% | Draw
29.1% | Bristol City
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Millwall - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.33) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
2.96 ↓
(3.07) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
Cundle L.
(Shoulder Injury)
De Norre C.
(Calf Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazou-Sacko D.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Sykes M.
(Hip Injury)
Vitek R.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Bristol City?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Millwall?
Bristol City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Bristol City were as follows:
06.12.2025
Bristol City
-
Millwall
0:1
04.03.2025
Millwall
-
Bristol City
0:2
17.08.2024
Bristol City
-
Millwall
4:3
01.01.2024
Bristol City
-
Millwall
0:1
12.08.2023
Millwall
-
Bristol City
0:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
