Millwall vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.81
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Passes
69% (230/334)	80% (369/462)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.38
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
19	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
69% (230/334)	80% (369/462)
Long passes
34% (28/82)	35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
48% (51/106)	72% (101/141)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	1.13
Throw-ins
18	16
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
59% (10/17)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
46	68
Clearances
21	30
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.38	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
23', Doughty A. 🟨,
38', Sturge Z. 🟨,
41', Crama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mitchell B. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, McCrorie R. (A),
55', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
55', Emakhu A. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
66', Armstrong S. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
66', Atkinson R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
73', Doughty A. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
73', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Langstaff M. ⚽,
83', Ballo T. 🟨,
87', Neto Borges 🟨,
88', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
39.2%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol City
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.6%

29.9%

Millwall - Bristol City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.33)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	6.1% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Bristol City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cundle L. (Shoulder Injury) De Norre C. (Calf Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Hip Injury) Vitek R. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Bristol City?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Millwall?

Bristol City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Bristol City were as follows:

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1

04.03.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 0:2

17.08.2024 Bristol City - Millwall 4:3

01.01.2024 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1

12.08.2023 Millwall - Bristol City 0:1

Latest results of Millwall

26.12.2025 Millwall - Ipswich Town 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Millwall - Hull City 1:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol City

26.12.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Coventry City - Bristol City 1:0 ✺

10.12.2025 Bristol City - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54:25	29	51
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33:25	8	43
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40:23	17	41
4	Hull	24	12	5	7	40:37	3	41
5	Millwall	24	11	6	7	27:32	-5	39
6	Watford	24	10	8	6	34:29	5	38
7	Preston	24	9	10	5	31:25	6	37
8	Bristol City	24	10	6	8	33:27	6	36
9	QPR	24	10	5	9	34:37	-3	35
10	Stoke	24	10	4	10	29:23	6	34
11	Wrexham	24	8	10	6	34:31	3	34
12	Leicester	24	9	7	8	34:34	0	34
13	Southampton	24	8	8	8	38:34	4	32
14	Derby	24	8	8	8	33:33	0	32
15	Birmingham	24	8	7	9	32:31	1	31
16	West Brom	24	9	4	11	28:32	-4	31
17	Sheffield Utd	24	9	2	13	33:37	-4	29
18	Swansea	24	8	5	11	25:31	-6	29
19	Blackburn	23	7	6	10	22:26	-4	27
20	Charlton	23	7	6	10	22:29	-7	27
21	Portsmouth	23	6	7	10	21:30	-9	25
22	Oxford Utd	24	5	7	12	24:33	-9	22
23	Norwich	24	5	6	13	26:36	-10	21
24	Sheffield Wed	23	1	8	14	18:45	-27	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One