Millwall vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.81
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Passes
69% (230/334)	80% (369/462)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.38
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
19	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
69% (230/334)	80% (369/462)
Long passes
34% (28/82)	35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
48% (51/106)	72% (101/141)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	1.13
Throw-ins
18	16
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
59% (10/17)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
46	68
Clearances
21	30
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.38	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
23', Doughty A. 🟨,
38', Sturge Z. 🟨,
41', Crama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mitchell B. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, McCrorie R. (A),
55', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
55', Emakhu A. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
66', Armstrong S. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
66', Atkinson R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
73', Doughty A. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
73', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Langstaff M. ⚽,
83', Ballo T. 🟨,
87', Neto Borges 🟨,
88', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
39.2%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol City
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.6%

29.9%

Millwall - Bristol City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.33)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	6.1% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Bristol City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cundle L. (Shoulder Injury) De Norre C. (Calf Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Hip Injury) Vitek R. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Bristol City?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Millwall?

Bristol City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Bristol City were as follows:

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1

04.03.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 0:2

17.08.2024 Bristol City - Millwall 4:3

01.01.2024 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1

12.08.2023 Millwall - Bristol City 0:1

Latest results of Millwall

26.12.2025 Millwall - Ipswich Town 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Millwall - Hull City 1:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol City

26.12.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Coventry City - Bristol City 1:0 ✺

10.12.2025 Bristol City - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Bristol City - Millwall 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One