Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/400) | 70% (199/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/400) | 70% (199/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 27% (18/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (64/105) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', Atkinson R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
- 19', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽, De Keersmaecker B. (A),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Placheta P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Randell A. (A),
- 55', Knight J. 🟨,
- 71', Sykes M. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
- 71', McCrorie R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
- 72', Krastev F. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 72', Placheta P. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 73', Prelec N. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 74', Vitek R. 🟨,
- 76', Vaulks W. 🟨,
- 76', Vyner Z. 🟨,
- 81', Brannagan C. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 84', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
- 87', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 87', Randell A. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 89', Dickie R. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, De Keersmaecker B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
50.3% | Draw
27.4% | Oxford United
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Bristol City - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.57) |
3.81 ↓
(4.1) |
4.58 ↓
(5) |
-6.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 69.5% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Bristol City (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oxford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Bristol City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Johnson J.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Oxford United?
Bristol City has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Bristol City?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Oxford United were as follows:
01.02.2025
Oxford United
-
Bristol City
1:1
21.09.2024
Bristol City
-
Oxford United
2:1
09.08.2023
Bristol City
-
Oxford United
5:1
22.07.2023
Bristol City
-
Oxford United
4:1
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
