Bristol City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Bristol City - Oxford United
Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.51
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
78% (312/400)70% (199/286)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.232.19
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
78% (312/400)70% (199/286)
Long passes
40% (17/43)27% (18/67)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)57% (50/87)
Crosses
28% (7/25)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.81
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1314
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.190.23
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', Atkinson R. , Tanner G. ,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Prelec N. , De Keersmaecker B. (A),
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Placheta P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Mehmeti A. , Randell A. (A),
  • 55', Knight J. 🟨,
  • 71', Sykes M. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 71', McCrorie R. , Neto Borges ,
  • 72', Krastev F. , Mills S. ,
  • 72', Placheta P. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 73', Prelec N. , Dembele S. ,
  • 74', Vitek R. 🟨,
  • 76', Vaulks W. 🟨,
  • 76', Vyner Z. 🟨,
  • 81', Brannagan C. , Harris L. ,
  • 84', Currie J. , Leigh G. ,
  • 87', Twine S. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 87', Randell A. , Mayulu F. ,
  • 89', Dickie R. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 3, De Keersmaecker B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol City
50.3%
Draw
27.4%
Oxford United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 22.6% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Bristol City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.57)
    3.81
    (4.1)
    4.58
    (5)
    -6.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 69.5%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Bristol City (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oxford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Bristol City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury) O'Leary M. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Johnson J. (Inactive) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Oxford United were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Oxford United - Bristol City 1:1
    21.09.2024 Bristol City - Oxford United 2:1
    09.08.2023 Bristol City - Oxford United 5:1
    22.07.2023 Bristol City - Oxford United 4:1
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One