Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

League Two - Round 16
Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.69	1.46
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
55% (149/271)	64% (260/409)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.59	0.26
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
14	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
55% (149/271)	64% (260/409)
Long passes
27% (20/73)	24% (20/83)
Passes in final third
51% (59/115)	42% (52/123)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	0.63
Throw-ins
23	50
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
69% (11/16)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
68	73
Clearances
53	33
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.26	2.59
Goals prevented
-0.74	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
23', Chang A. 🟨,
26', Forde S. 🟨,
40', Walton T. 🟨,
40', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bilongo B. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
57', Walton T. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ⚽,
60', Whalley S. 🟨,
62', Ward B. 🟨,
67', Harrison E. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽,
79', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
79', Whalley S. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
80', Mola C. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
80', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
88', Coyle L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
40%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol Rovers
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.25 ↓ (3.47)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)	6.4% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Bristol Rovers?

Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 2:0

24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

11.11.2025 Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21 3:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley 3:3 ✺

02.11.2025 Gainsborough Trinity - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 1:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

11.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Bromley - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers 1:4 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League