Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 40
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.39
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	7
Passes
52% (124/237)	63% (198/312)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	0.05
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
9	5
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
25	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	3
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
52% (124/237)	63% (198/312)
Long passes
36% (25/70)	28% (18/65)
Passes in final third
50% (47/94)	59% (58/98)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.36
Throw ins
31	32
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
48% (10/21)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
70	53
Clearances
35	36
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.05	0.67
Goals prevented
0.05	-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Harbottle R. ⚽, Balmer K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Harbottle R. 🟨,
52', Matthews D. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Sparkes J. ⚽,
54', Matthews D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
62', Brown C. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
66', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
66', Leigh T. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
67', Rijks M. 🟨,
75', Madden P. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
75', O'Brien C. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
80', Sass F. 🟨,
83', Walton T. 🟨,
90+1', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
53.2%

Draw
26.3%

Accrington Stanley
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1%)

Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.54 ↑ (3.48)	4.49 ↑ (4.09)	7.2% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Accrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Bristol Rovers is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Rijks M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C. (Inactive) Heath I. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
We predict that Bristol Rovers will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Bristol Rovers?

Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

15.11.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 3:1

14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 2:0

24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

21.03.2026 Gillingham - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

17.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Bromley - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Barrow - Bristol Rovers 0:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

21.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Notts County 0:4 ✺

14.03.2026 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Bromley - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League