Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 16
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.590.26
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Long passes
27% (20/73)24% (20/83)
Passes in final third
51% (59/115)42% (52/123)
Crosses
7% (1/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.63
Throw-ins
2350
Fouls
1312
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6873
Clearances
5333
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.262.59
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Heath I. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 23', Chang A. 🟨,
  • 26', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 40', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 40', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bilongo B. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 57', Walton T. , Madden P. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ,
  • 60', Whalley S. 🟨,
  • 62', Ward B. 🟨,
  • 67', Harrison E. , Thomas L. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ,
  • 79', Grant C. , Bauress J. ,
  • 79', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 80', Mola C. , Sparkes J. ,
  • 80', Southam-Hales M. , Moore T. ,
  • 88', Coyle L. , Conneely S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
40%
Draw
29.1%
Bristol Rovers
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 26.7% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 26.4% 34.5%

Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(2.42)
3.25
(3.47)
3.02
(2.66)
6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 2:0
    24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League