Result
3:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (149/271) | 64% (260/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (149/271) | 64% (260/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (20/73) | 24% (20/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (59/115) | 42% (52/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 50 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 23', Chang A. 🟨,
- 26', Forde S. 🟨,
- 40', Walton T. 🟨,
- 40', Mola C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bilongo B. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 57', Walton T. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ⚽,
- 60', Whalley S. 🟨,
- 62', Ward B. 🟨,
- 67', Harrison E. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽,
- 79', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
- 79', Whalley S. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 80', Mola C. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
- 80', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
- 88', Coyle L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
40% | Draw
29.1% | Bristol Rovers
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.42) |
3.25 ↓
(3.47) |
3.02 ↑
(2.66) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E.
(Injury)
Kilgour A.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Bristol Rovers?
Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
14.01.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Bristol Rovers
2:0
24.09.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Accrington Stanley
0:1
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 28 |
| 5 | Bromley | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 28:24 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Crewe | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 26 |
| 9 | Salford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 11 | Barnet | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 23 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 23 |
| 14 | Colchester | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 15 | Oldham | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 20 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | 19 |
| 17 | Barrow | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 19 |
| 18 | Accrington | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 17 |
| 20 | Crawley | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 16 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | Harrogate | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 15 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 24 | Newport | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
