Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 16
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.590.26
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
55% (149/271)64% (260/409)
Long passes
27% (20/73)24% (20/83)
Passes in final third
51% (59/115)42% (52/123)
Crosses
7% (1/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.63
Throw-ins
2350
Fouls
1312
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6873
Clearances
5333
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.262.59
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Heath I. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 23', Chang A. 🟨,
  • 26', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 40', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 40', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bilongo B. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 57', Walton T. , Madden P. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ,
  • 60', Whalley S. 🟨,
  • 62', Ward B. 🟨,
  • 67', Harrison E. , Thomas L. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ,
  • 79', Grant C. , Bauress J. ,
  • 79', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 80', Mola C. , Sparkes J. ,
  • 80', Southam-Hales M. , Moore T. ,
  • 88', Coyle L. , Conneely S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
40%
Draw
29.1%
Bristol Rovers
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 26.7% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 26.4% 34.5%

Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(2.42)
3.25
(3.47)
3.02
(2.66)
6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 2:0
    24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League