Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (169/285) | 54% (121/224) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (169/285) | 54% (121/224) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (25/89) | 22% (19/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (51/109) | 46% (51/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Hale R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Leigh T. 🟨,
- 35', Waldock H. 🟨,
- 45', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Harbottle R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 46', Cavegn F. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 46', Leigh T. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 46', Sparkes J. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Kilgour A. ⚽, Akhamrich Y. (A),
- 59', Smith A. ↓, Ogie S. ↑,
- 71', Hutton R. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Harrison E. ⚽,
- 77', Clark M. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 77', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 78', Waldock H. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 82', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 89', Little A. 🟨,
- 90+10', Young B. 🟨,
- 90+13', Little A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
39% | Draw
28.7% | Bristol Rovers
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gillingham - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.05) |
3.27 ↓
(3.29) |
2.87 ↓
(3.44) |
7.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
- Recent form of Gillingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C.
(Injury)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Bristol Rovers?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Gillingham?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
08.11.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Gillingham
0:1
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
