Result
2:3
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/298) | 68% (246/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/298) | 68% (246/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/84) | 40% (35/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/107) | 57% (99/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Leigh T. (A),
- 55', 2 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
- 58', Acquah E. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 2, Harrison E. ⚽,
- 64', McEachran J. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
- 72', De Havilland R. ↓, Kilgour A. ↑,
- 72', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
- 75', Headman C. 🟨,
- 76', Slater J. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 3, Harrison E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Headman C. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
36% | Draw
28.2% | Bristol Rovers
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.94) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
2.61 ↑
(2.24) |
6.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
- Recent performances by Harrogate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Bristol Rovers?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Harrogate Town?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
02.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
