Bristol Rovers vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Bristol Rovers - Salford City
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.36
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
52% (140/267)59% (178/302)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.322.51
Total shots
718
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
52% (140/267)59% (178/302)
Long passes
28% (27/97)34% (30/87)
Passes in final third
44% (54/124)53% (62/118)
Crosses
12% (2/17)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.23
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
1714
Tackles
58% (11/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
7169
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.511.32
Goals prevented
1.51-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Butcher M. ,
  • 40', Harris K. 🟨,
  • 43', Cotterill J. , Thomas L. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Harrison E. , Kilgour A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moore T. , Conteh K. ,
  • 54', Garbutt L. 🟨,
  • 57', Ashley O. 🟨,
  • 61', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ,
  • 65', Woodburn B. , Bird J. ,
  • 65', Ashley O. , Grant J. ,
  • 74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
  • 81', McEachran J. , Bilongo B. ,
  • 84', Cooper B. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 90+3', Cavegn F. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 90+6', Mnoga H. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Garbutt L. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
34.5%
Draw
27.3%
Salford City
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 25.6% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 24.1% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bristol Rovers - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.21)
    3.67
    (3.64)
    2.55
    (2.89)
    -0.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) N'Mai K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R. (Inactive) Young B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Salford City
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League