Salford City vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Peninsula Stadium (Salford).

League Two - Round 28
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.14	0.23
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
9	4
Passes
52% (116/222)	56% (156/280)
Yellow cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.14	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	0.03
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
7	3
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
31	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
9	9
Passes
52% (116/222)	56% (156/280)
Long passes
27% (18/67)	25% (24/97)
Passes in final third
43% (51/120)	42% (46/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.35
Throw ins
36	29
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
50% (5/10)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
60	60
Clearances
45	42
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.03	1.20
Goals prevented
0.03	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
29', Garbutt L. 🟨,
43', Mnoga H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kilgour A. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
46', Thomas L. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
46', Hutchinson I. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
70', Forde S. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
70', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
70', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
78', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
83', Grant J. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
83', Cesay K. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Salford City
56.6%

Draw
23.3%

Bristol Rovers
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Salford City - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)	4.02 ↑ (3.81)	4.6 ↑ (4.31)	6.9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Salford City - Bristol Rovers?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salford City will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
Salford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bristol Rovers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.
In this match, Salford is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Inactive) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) Oluwo A. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)
We predict that Salford will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Bristol Rovers?

Salford City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Salford City?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1

Latest results of Salford City

20.01.2026 Salford City - Swindon Town 3:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:3 ✺

01.01.2026 Barrow - Salford City 1:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Salford City - Fleetwood Town 0:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Salford City - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 3:4 ✺

01.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:3 ✺

29.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barnet 0:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bromley 2:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League