Bristol Rovers vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Bristol Rovers - Salford City
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.36
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
52% (140/267)59% (178/302)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.322.51
Total shots
718
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
52% (140/267)59% (178/302)
Long passes
28% (27/97)34% (30/87)
Passes in final third
44% (54/124)53% (62/118)
Crosses
12% (2/17)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.23
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
1714
Tackles
58% (11/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
7169
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.511.32
Goals prevented
1.51-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Butcher M. ,
  • 40', Harris K. 🟨,
  • 43', Cotterill J. , Thomas L. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Harrison E. , Kilgour A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moore T. , Conteh K. ,
  • 54', Garbutt L. 🟨,
  • 57', Ashley O. 🟨,
  • 61', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ,
  • 65', Woodburn B. , Bird J. ,
  • 65', Ashley O. , Grant J. ,
  • 74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
  • 81', McEachran J. , Bilongo B. ,
  • 84', Cooper B. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 90+3', Cavegn F. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 90+6', Mnoga H. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Garbutt L. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
34.5%
Draw
27.3%
Salford City
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 25.6% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 24.1% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bristol Rovers - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.21)
    3.67
    (3.64)
    2.55
    (2.89)
    -0.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) N'Mai K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R. (Inactive) Young B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Salford City
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League