Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 2.36 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
52% (140/267) | 59% (178/302) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 2.36 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 2.51 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
52% (140/267) | 59% (178/302) |
Long passes |
---|
28% (27/97) | 34% (30/87) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (54/124) | 53% (62/118) |
Crosses |
---|
12% (2/17) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.42 | 1.23 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (11/19) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
71 | 69 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.51 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.51 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Butcher M. ⚽,
- 40', Harris K. 🟨,
- 43', Cotterill J. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Kilgour A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Moore T. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 54', Garbutt L. 🟨,
- 57', Ashley O. 🟨,
- 61', Mola C. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽,
- 65', Woodburn B. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
- 65', Ashley O. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 81', McEachran J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
- 84', Cooper B. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
- 90+3', Cavegn F. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 90+6', Mnoga H. 🟥,
- 90+7', Garbutt L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers 34.5% | Draw 27.3% | Salford City 38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bristol Rovers - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↑ (2.21) |
3.67 ↑ (3.64) |
2.55 ↓ (2.89) |
-0.6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
N'Mai K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R.
(Inactive)
Young B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Salford City?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Bristol Rovers?
Salford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Salford City were as follows:
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League