Bristol Rovers vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.64
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
59% (197/333)53% (131/248)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.64
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
89
Passes
59% (197/333)53% (131/248)
Long passes
35% (35/101)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
46% (58/126)50% (56/113)
Crosses
14% (3/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.43
Throw-ins
3734
Fouls
98
Tackles
80% (16/20)71% (5/7)
Duels won
6255
Clearances
3355
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.640.61
Goals prevented
-0.360.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Winterburn B. 🟨,
  • 43', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Senior A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Sparkes J. 🟨,
  • 61', Shelton M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', McEachran J. , Senior J. ,
  • 63', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
  • 74', Sotiriou R. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 75', Winterburn B. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 80', Thomas L. , Chang A. ,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Glover R. , Kizzi J. (A),
  • 87', Kilgour A. 🟨,
  • 88', Ndlovu L. , Assombalonga B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
29.2%
Draw
27.5%
Barnet
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 27.9% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.2% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (3.78)
    3.37
    (3.29)
    2.15
    (1.92)
    7.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barnet?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Barnet (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Barnet will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
    • Bristol Rovers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Red Card) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D. (Inactive) Crichlow-Noble R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barnet were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Barnet
    26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0
    20.12.2025 Barnet - Salford City 1:3
    13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1
    09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0
    29.11.2025 Barnet - Harrogate Town 1:1
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One