Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
26.8% | Draw
33.9% | Kiyovu Sports
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bugesera's form might have worsened.Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bugesera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.77) |
2.64 ↓
(2.84) |
2.29 ↓
(2.52) |
11.6%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Kiyovu Sports?
Bugesera has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiyovu Sports won against Bugesera?
Kiyovu Sports has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports were as follows:
09.11.2025
Kiyovu Sports
-
Bugesera
0:0
27.05.2025
Bugesera
-
Kiyovu Sports
5:0
26.10.2024
Kiyovu Sports
-
Bugesera
1:2
26.01.2024
Kiyovu Sports
-
Bugesera
2:2
02.09.2023
Bugesera
-
Kiyovu Sports
4:0
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Kiyovu Sports
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | APR | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 35:19 | 16 | 49 |
| 2 | Al-Merreikh | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 48 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Police | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 27:17 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Musanze | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | Marines | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 18:28 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 26 |
| 13 | Gicumbi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:28 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 25 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 18:27 | -9 | 22 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 11:29 | -18 | 21 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17:35 | -18 | 21 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:34 | -10 | 20 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
