Result
2:0 penalties
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
42.1% | Draw
32.3% | Etincelles
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Bugesera - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.07) |
2.79 ↓
(2.85) |
3.51 ↓
(3.87) |
11.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Aggregate: 2-1. Second leg.
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 3.
- Bugesera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Etincelles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Bugesera has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Etincelles has had a series of away games.
- Bugesera could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Etincelles?
Bugesera has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Bugesera?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Etincelles were as follows:
11.03.2026
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
1:0
11.01.2026
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
1:2
24.05.2025
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
0:1
21.09.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
1:1
31.03.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
2:2
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
