Buhimba United Saints vs Mbarara City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
72
Total shots
159
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Kacancu A. ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Kanyike M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', 1 - 2, Agondeze E. ,

Chances of winning


Buhimba United Saints
50.4%
Draw
27.5%
Mbarara City
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 26.4% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 21.8% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buhimba United Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buhimba United Saints than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buhimba United Saints that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Buhimba United Saints - Mbarara City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.76)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    4.15
    (4.2)
    9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • In recent matches, Buhimba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mbarara City has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Buhimba is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Buhimba United Saints
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    05.11.2025 Express - Mbarara City 4:1
    01.11.2025 Mbarara City - NEC FC 0:1
    24.10.2025 Kitara - Mbarara City 3:2
    17.10.2025 Mbarara City - Bul 1:1
    03.10.2025 Mbarara City - UPDF 0:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers21155142:142850
    2Kitara21144334:132146
    3Kampala City21143434:171745
    4Villa21125431:112041
    5Entebbe UPPC21106518:13536
    6Police21105631:23835
    7NEC FC21810323:16734
    8BUL2186724:20430
    9Maroons2168717:15226
    10Express2158818:22-423
    11URA SC21410718:22-422
    12Lugazi21461115:30-1518
    13Mbarara City21371115:31-1616
    14Buhimba21431415:44-2915
    15UPDF21351314:29-1514
    16Calvary2105167:36-295

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League