Result
2:1
28/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kamugisha C. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Kimera K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 1, Amanya I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mbarara City
49% | Draw
28.1% | Express
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Mbarara City - Express Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.9) |
3.2 ↑
(2.97) |
3.92 ↓
(3.96) |
11.2%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 1.
- Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Express has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mbarara City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Express?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Express won against Mbarara City?
Express has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - Express were as follows:
05.11.2025
Express
-
Mbarara City
4:1
28.11.2024
Express
-
Mbarara City
3:1
02.02.2024
Mbarara City
-
Express
3:1
23.09.2023
Express
-
Mbarara City
0:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
Latest results of Express
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
