Eibar vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

LaLiga2 - Round 30
Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.20	0.45
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
90% (593/659)	76% (282/371)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.20	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.40
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
1	0
Shots inside the box
4	6
Shots outside the box
2	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	19
Passes
90% (593/659)	76% (282/371)
Long passes
61% (39/64)	46% (31/67)
Passes in final third
79% (139/175)	43% (23/54)
Crosses
4% (1/23)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.09
Throw ins
20	19
Fouls
19	10
Tackles
45% (5/11)	70% (14/20)
Duels won
48	58
Clearances
21	20
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.40	0.48
Goals prevented
0.40	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
22', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
28', Atienza M. 🟨,
43', Ares A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Madariaga A. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
65', Appin K. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
65', Cordoba I. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
74', Olaetxea L. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
74', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
87', Curro ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
87', Arbilla A. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
88', Ares A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
90', Garcia H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Eibar
45.6%

Draw
31.9%

Burgos
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

30.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Eibar - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	2.93 ↓ (3.11)	4.23 ↑ (4.13)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Eibar - Burgos?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 23.8% – 76.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.
Eibar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Burgos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Eibar is the team to beat.
There will not play in Eibar: Bernat J. (Health problems) Martinez J. (Injury) Moreno M. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Burgos: Atienza M. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Burgos?

Eibar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Eibar?

Burgos has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Burgos were as follows:

10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0

02.08.2025 Burgos - Eibar 1:0

17.05.2025 Eibar - Burgos 1:0

23.11.2024 Burgos - Eibar 1:0

10.03.2024 Eibar - Burgos 0:1

Latest results of Eibar

08.03.2026 Leganés - Eibar 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Eibar - Cádiz 3:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Deportivo La Coruña - Eibar 1:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Eibar - Racing Santander 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Zaragoza - Eibar 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

07.03.2026 Burgos - Mirandés 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Racing Santander - Burgos 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Burgos - Cádiz 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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