Huesca vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Huesca - Burgos
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.88
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
74% (258/348)80% (350/435)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.77
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1220
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
74% (258/348)80% (350/435)
Long passes
38% (20/52)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
53% (48/91)63% (65/104)
Crosses
33% (4/12)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.27
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
1512
Tackles
60% (12/20)45% (5/11)
Duels won
6045
Clearances
3528
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.772.07
Goals prevented
-0.230.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Toni Abad 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Luna D. , Kortajarena I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Appin K. , Nino F. ,
  • 51', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 52', Sielva O. 🟨,
  • 62', Toni Abad , Carrillo A. ,
  • 62', Ojeda D. , Perez A. ,
  • 65', Cantero M. , Cordoba I. ,
  • 68', Sierra G. 🟨,
  • 69', Luna D. , Beltran L. ,
  • 69', Enrich S. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
  • 74', Gonzalez M. , Mollejo V. ,
  • 74', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Garcia F. ,
  • 78', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 84', Kortajarena I. , Ntamack S. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Ntamack S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3n2757jf

Chances of winning


Huesca
44.3%
Draw
32.8%
Burgos
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 31.5% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 32.6% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Huesca - Burgos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.34)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    4.45
    (3.42)
    0.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Huesca - Burgos?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Huesca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Huesca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Huesca: Chatiliez W. (International duty) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burgos: Mollejo V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Huesca - Burgos were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Burgos - Huesca 2:1
    07.09.2024 Huesca - Burgos 0:1
    24.03.2024 Huesca - Burgos 3:0
    13.08.2023 Burgos - Huesca 1:1
    09.04.2023 Huesca - Burgos 2:1
    Latest results of Huesca
    28.09.2025 Huesca - Granada 0:1
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    01.09.2025 Huesca - Eibar 2:1
    Latest results of Burgos
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    22.09.2025 Burgos - Granada 1:1
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    31.08.2025 FC Andorra - Burgos 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1053211:6518
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Albacete1034315:16-113
    13Cordoba1034311:13-213
    14Huesca94148:11-313
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation