Result
2:2
31/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 42
- Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (480/555) | 76% (204/268) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.47 | 1.87 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
86% (480/555) | 76% (204/268) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (28/46) | 51% (32/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (105/147) | 60% (32/53) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/21) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (18/26) | 61% (17/28) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.87 | 1.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.13 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Nino F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Miguel F. ↓, Pipa ↑,
- 46', Puga C. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 56', Dioni ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 57', Molina M. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
- 61', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Nino F. ⚽, Cordoba I. (A),
- 66', Medina K. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 80', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
- 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Elady ↑,
- 83', Nino F. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Lobete J. ⚽,
- 90', Cordoba I. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/7538tuuw
Chances of winning
Málaga 43.7% | Draw 29.2% | Burgos 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Málaga - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (2.08) |
3.2 ↑ (3.08) |
3.49 ↓ (3.83) |
6.3% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Málaga - Burgos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Málaga will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
- In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Burgos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Málaga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Knee Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Ochoa A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Burgos: Alex Sancris
(Suspended)
Curro
(Knee Injury)
Ojeda D.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Sanchez D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burgos: Appin K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Burgos?
Málaga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Málaga?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Burgos were as follows:
15.12.2024
Burgos
-
Málaga
0:0
21.01.2023
Málaga
-
Burgos
1:1
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cadiz CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Burgos CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huesca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Dep. La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Ceuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Mirandes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation