Result
2:2
31/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 42
- Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/555) | 76% (204/268) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/555) | 76% (204/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (28/46) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (105/147) | 60% (32/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 61% (17/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Nino F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Miguel F. ↓, Pipa ↑,
- 46', Puga C. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 56', Dioni ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 57', Molina M. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
- 61', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Nino F. ⚽, Cordoba I. (A),
- 66', Medina K. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 80', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
- 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Elady ↑,
- 83', Nino F. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Lobete J. ⚽,
- 90', Cordoba I. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/7538tuuw
Chances of winning
Málaga
43.7% | Draw
29.2% | Burgos
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Málaga - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.08) |
3.2 ↑
(3.08) |
3.49 ↓
(3.83) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Málaga - Burgos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Málaga will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
- In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Burgos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Málaga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Knee Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Ochoa A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Burgos: Alex Sancris
(Suspended)
Curro
(Knee Injury)
Ojeda D.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Sanchez D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burgos: Appin K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Burgos?
Málaga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Málaga?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Burgos were as follows:
15.12.2024
Burgos
-
Málaga
0:0
21.01.2023
Málaga
-
Burgos
1:1
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Santander | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gijon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Burgos CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Andorra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Malaga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Mirandes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Ceuta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
