Result
2:2
15/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Burgos
44.7% | Draw
32.3% | Ponferradina
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Burgos - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.08) |
2.9 ↓
(2.95) |
4.09 ↑
(3.96) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Burgos - Ponferradina?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 33.7% – 75.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Burgos has the most likely position - 8 (19.54%), project points - 58, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (48.05%), project points - 42, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (89%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3.
- Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Burgos will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Ponferradina?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Burgos?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Ponferradina were as follows:
05.12.2022
Ponferradina
-
Burgos
1:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
